Economists said the lukewarm report probably did little to affect when the Federal Reserve might begin to taper its purchases of bonds, which it’s buying to hold down long-term interest rates.
The Economic Policy Institute, which advocates stronger efforts to increase employment, said in a statement that “at this pace, it will take more than six years to get back to the pre-recession unemployment rate.”
Bloomberg Businesweek
June 10, 2013
“The unemployment rate is really not that helpful right now in understanding trends in job opportunities because we’ve had so many dropouts,” said Heidi Shierholz, an economist at the Economic Policy Institute, a liberal research group.
CNNMoney
June 10, 2013
Some economists estimate that at least 2 million jobs may be missing because of the austerity measures that the government sector has undertaken since the recession ended, including the biggest federal-government spending squeeze since the end of the Vietnam War. And those jobs may not be coming back any time soon. At the current pace of job growth, the economy may not be back to full employment until 2021, estimates the Economic Policy Institute, a liberal think tank.
The Huffington Post
June 10, 2013
“This rate of growth is right in line with the average growth rate of the last year and is a perfect example of the ongoing slog in the labor market,” Heidi Shierholz, an economist with the Economic Policy Institute, a research group, said in her written assessment.
NPR
June 10, 2013
“It’s important to bear in mind that sequestration is more than a blunt instrument that hits in the economy. It’s going to be a gradual drag that will continue to increase,” said Andrew Fieldhouse, a budget policy analyst at the Economic Policy Institute and contributor to The Fiscal Times.
Fieldhouse said the real impact of sequestration won’t be felt until the end of 2013 – and then will drag on the economy into 2014.
The Fiscal Times
June 10, 2013
What makes this period different from the others? It’s not that taxes are higher now; they aren’t. The fastest job growth in the post-war era came in the late 1970s when the top corporate tax rate was 48%, instead of the 35% that prevails today. The second highest job growth was in the early 1950s, when the statutory rate was 52%. Read more about taxes and growth.
Individual tax rates are also much lower now than they were during periods of more robust growth.
Wall Street Journal
June 10, 2013
But it’s not all good news, according to a report released Friday by the Council on Contemporary Families, of which I am co-chairwoman. It is a collection of papers assessing the progress toward gender equity in the last half-century. In one, by the economist Heidi Shierholz, we learn that more than a quarter of the convergence in wages has been a result of men’s wage losses rather than women’s wage gains.
The New York Times
June 10, 2013
Looking at those two factors, there’s a strong argument that the Fed stands behind growth in inequality, particularly when it comes to wealth. But the picture is murkier when it comes to income. And experts sounded a note of caution about trying to work out the distributional effect that the central bank’s policies might be having more generally.
“I don’t think we know that much about it,” said Josh Bivens, an economist at the left-of-center Economic Policy Institute, a Washington-based research group. “It would be interesting to have a really determined academic look at the effect on all these asset groups and try to figure it out from there.”
Even if the Fed had stoked some wealth inequality through the stock and housing markets, he said, that would not be the full picture. How much did the Fed’s policies account for the housing turnaround, or the stock-price rebound? That would be hard to say. In the case of the stock markets, corporate earnings seemed the main factor, Mr. Bivens said.
Moreover, the fuller picture would need to take into account how the Federal Reserve might have eased earnings inequality by reducing unemployment. “High unemployment is much more destructive to wage growth for low-income workers than for high-income workers,” Mr. Bivens said. “The Fed might have done quite a bit to keep wages from falling even further at the low end.”
The New York Times
June 6, 2013
Moreover, the quality of the jobs available to recent college graduates today is much lower than in the past. In a new analysis, the Economic Policy Institute found that real wages for young college graduates have declined by 8.5 percent since 2000, and the share of young college graduates receiving employer-provided health insurance or pensions has also dropped in recent years.
Center for American Progress
June 6, 2013
Apple and Google are among the many corporations to have argued that America’shigh corporate tax rates discourage companies from bringing offshore profits — and hence jobs — back home to the United States. Yet after considering several decades of historical data on the U.S. corporate tax rate and economic growth, a new policy brief contends that there is no statistical relationship between the two factors.
The brief, by the Economic Policy Institute, a left-leaning think tank, finds that lowering the U.S. corporate income tax rate would not increase the country’s economic growth. Indeed, EPI goes as far as to say there is no evidence to support that the tax rate and economic growth are correlated at all.
The Huffington Post
June 6, 2013