Josh Bivens
Research and Policy Director
Publications by Josh Bivens
Blog
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May 2, 2013 | Winning the intellectual debate on austerity while losing the policy debate
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April 30, 2013 | Why do so many people want to only pursue the expensive ways to fix job-quality?
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April 26, 2013 | (Final?) Notes on the Reinhart/Rogoff saga
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April 26, 2013 | How far from full recovery are we, Part II: Housing to the rescue?
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April 23, 2013 | How far from full labor market recovery are we? Part I
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April 18, 2013 | More on missing downward price pressure (hint, blame corporate profits)
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April 17, 2013 | A slight bit of substance on the Reinhart and Rogoff 90 percent debt threshold
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April 16, 2013 | The Reinhart and Rogoff magical 90 percent threshold loses its magic?
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April 12, 2013 | Dark Age budgeting: Social Security back on the table
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April 8, 2013 | How to stomp on promising developments in the economy: Austerity
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March 22, 2013 | Manufacturing employment: Nothing to see here, move along…
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March 22, 2013 | Aggressively targeting a full recovery is the least risky thing you can do: Back to Work Budget edition
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Jan. 30, 2013 | Today’s teachable GDP moment: Slower government spending => slower GDP growth
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Jan. 25, 2013 | When and what kind of deficit reduction matters most: The danger of aggressive 10-year deficit targets in the current budget debate
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Jan. 18, 2013 | The congressional GOP has smothered a more rapid economic recovery
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Jan. 10, 2013 | With friends like these: The carbon tax edition
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Jan. 2, 2013 | More fiscal implications of a rising capital-share of income
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Jan. 2, 2013 | So the ‘fiscal cliff’ has been addressed. The next priority should be to address the fiscal cliff.
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Dec. 21, 2012 | The 15 worst economic ideas of 2012
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Dec. 18, 2012 | If you’re writing about the ‘fiscal cliff,’ you need to read The State of Working America
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Dec. 17, 2012 | Reading the tea leaves on financial markets and fiscal austerity
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Nov. 30, 2012 | A good first step, but full recovery would still be far, far away
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Nov. 28, 2012 | True deficit hawks would be worried with jobs and recovery first
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Nov. 27, 2012 | Inequality is not just about taxes and education
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Nov. 14, 2012 | Did NAFTA raise U.S. incomes? Not for most
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Nov. 9, 2012 | Congressional Budget Office confirms EPI’s findings on the fiscal obstacle course
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Nov. 2, 2012 | GOP senators to Congressional Research Service: Research? We don’t need no stinking research
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Nov. 1, 2012 | Worrying about the fiscal cliff just leads to victory dances from Keynesians…
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Oct. 26, 2012 | Robert Samuelson on government jobs: They exist, but people who recognize them are like flat-earthers
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Oct. 23, 2012 | Not dead yet: Currency management and the need for a more competitive dollar
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Oct. 22, 2012 | No, we don’t need China to finance budget deficits
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Oct. 22, 2012 | Notes for tonight’s debate: Faster growth without growing budget deficits requires a more competitive U.S. dollar
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Oct. 5, 2012 | ‘Generational’ accusations are nearly always wrong
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Sept. 28, 2012 | Multipliers, yet again
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Sept. 27, 2012 | Which candidate’s plans are more Keynesian?
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Sept. 17, 2012 | One year of Occupy Wall Street
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Sept. 14, 2012 | The value of Fed-talk
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Sept. 12, 2012 | Want to understand today’s inaction in solving economic problems? Read The State of Working America
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Sept. 6, 2012 | Elizabeth Warren on why
you should read State of Working Americatoo many American families are struggling to get ahead -
Aug. 22, 2012 | What do Social Security, Medicare and public investments have in common? They make us richer
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Aug. 20, 2012 | Bankrupt! No, not the U.S. economy, just the policy discussion about it
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July 27, 2012 | Potential failure
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July 17, 2012 | Inequality, exhibit A: Walmart and the wealth of American families
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July 12, 2012 | The ‘technology did it’ zombie has arisen
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July 9, 2012 | Robert Samuelson says the economy isn’t allowed to have the Keynesian cures it needs because of … Keynesians (from the 1960s)
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July 6, 2012 | Three years into recovery, just how much has state and local austerity hurt job growth?
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June 29, 2012 | David Brooks thinks that the ACA should be replaced with … lots of stuff already in the ACA
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June 28, 2012 | The mandate lives and conservatives weep that Americans don’t have to pay more for health coverage
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June 14, 2012 | Job chart in Romney’s economic plan
seems wrongstill funky -
June 7, 2012 | Claims about the efficacy of fiscal stimulus in a depressed economy are based on as-flimsy evidence as the Laffer Curve?! Seriously false equivalence
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June 5, 2012 | ‘Simplistic Keynesians’ still right about the economy
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May 25, 2012 | One more time: Public debt incurred when the economy is depressed does not damage the economy
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May 24, 2012 | Getting to a better Fed is about more than just Jamie Dimon
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May 24, 2012 | Does just arguing over the debt ceiling damage recovery? Maybe
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April 25, 2012 | Austerity in the UK — losing the argument and the economy
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April 20, 2012 | Cutting public investments to protect “the children” — or, when the cure is much worse than the malady
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April 17, 2012 | Did Greg Mankiw really just brandish his $170 textbook as evidence of the benefits of unfettered competition?
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April 12, 2012 | It’s true, the Buffett Rule won’t lower unemployment by itself (but it’s still worth doing)
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April 6, 2012 | Were some of ARRA’s jobs eaten by rising hours?
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April 5, 2012 | Unemployment rising too fast, then falling too fast … going forward, it should (unfortunately) be just right
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March 23, 2012 | Economists arguing that there is indeed such a thing as a free lunch … as long as people are willing to eat it
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March 21, 2012 | What’s good for Apple is … just good for Apple
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March 2, 2012 | Reagan, Keynes, government spending, jobs. Redux.
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Feb. 15, 2012 | Morals, money and book promotion
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Feb. 10, 2012 | More lessons from testifying: Must explain that one person’s income is another’s cost
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Feb. 10, 2012 | Lessons from testifying before the GOP House: Don’t assume people know basic economic principles
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Feb. 7, 2012 | Romer argues against ‘special treatment’ for U.S. manufacturing (gasp, somebody smart is wrong on the Internet!)
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Feb. 3, 2012 | Tracking GDP and jobs: When repeating the same thing over and over actually provides useful information
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Jan. 31, 2012 | Record low capacity utilization in electric sector inconsistent with “regulations kill jobs” mantra
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Jan. 27, 2012 | Maybe Reagan was onto something…
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Jan. 26, 2012 | The Fed’s longer-run goals: Defining success down?
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Jan. 24, 2012 | Apple execs (like everyone else) overlook global exchange rates
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Jan. 19, 2012 | Don’t blame the robots: It’s not productivity growth that’s holding job growth back
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Jan. 12, 2012 | Asking the wrong question about presidents and jobs
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Jan. 12, 2012 | Trade and jobs – why make it so hard?
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Jan. 3, 2012 | A happy (economic) 2012 is far from guaranteed
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Dec. 19, 2011 | Cleaner, safer air (and some jobs) coming soon: Final “air-toxics rule” still likely to be life-saver, not job-killer
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Dec. 12, 2011 | Same old, same old: One quick test for what’s serious in job creation proposals
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Dec. 8, 2011 | I still haven’t run a small business … but the case against regulation is still awfully weak
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Nov. 28, 2011 | Eurozone crisis: Dogs and cats living together! Mass hysteria!
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Nov. 15, 2011 | In the Beltway, the answer is always “faster deficit reduction!”
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Nov. 14, 2011 | The timing is right for construction-related environmental jobs
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Nov. 14, 2011 | Drawing all the wrong lessons from the Euro crisis
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Nov. 10, 2011 | Snapshot: CEOs distance themselves from the average worker
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Nov. 8, 2011 | It’s [not] the economy [that I recognize]
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Oct. 28, 2011 | Once again, the Great Recession explains why today’s economy is so bad
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Oct. 28, 2011 | Fast investment growth + slow employment growth = no puzzle
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Oct. 26, 2011 | CBO joins EPI in providing intellectual support to OWS
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Oct. 26, 2011 | Treasury analysis confirms hollowness of regulatory uncertainty claims
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Oct. 21, 2011 | Video: Seniors rapping about Social Security
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Oct. 21, 2011 | Quick clicks: Growing chorus wants the Fed to do more
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Oct. 18, 2011 | Uh-oh, the peasants are getting angry… time to lie to them about taxes!
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Oct. 17, 2011 | What should have been different this time? The policy response
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Oct. 11, 2011 | In bad times, borrowing from yourself doesn’t make you poor
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Oct. 7, 2011 | With friends like these…
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Oct. 6, 2011 | So’s your mother. And Reagan. And you’ve never run a business!
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Oct. 6, 2011 | Progressive counter-pressure for the Fed?
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Oct. 5, 2011 | “That’s where the money is”
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Oct. 4, 2011 | Truly shared sacrifice includes Wall Street
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Oct. 4, 2011 | The bad economy is not just a state of mind
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Sept. 28, 2011 | Are hedge-fund managers making my health insurance premiums expensive?
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Sept. 21, 2011 | Basic macroeconomics for Republican congressional leaders, part II
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Sept. 16, 2011 | Macroeconomics is not a religion
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Sept. 16, 2011 | When did the meltdown really begin?
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Sept. 14, 2011 | Payroll tax cuts – just how much bang for buck?
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Sept. 8, 2011 | Frantic about jobs? Really?
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Sept. 8, 2011 | Famous economists agreeing with us — the first in an occasional series
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Sept. 8, 2011 | Double-dip? It doesn’t really matter
Report
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April 30, 2013 | Dangerous targets: Why setting a specific deficit reduction target would worsen the economic and fiscal situation
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March 22, 2013 | Using standard models to benchmark the costs of globalization for American workers without a college degree
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Feb. 14, 2013 | From free-fall to stagnation: Five years after the start of the Great Recession, extraordinary policy measures are still needed, but are not forthcoming
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Dec. 6, 2012 | Green ‘sequester’ is already costing U.S. jobs: Job losses from ongoing clean-tech cuts will rival those from defense cuts
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Nov. 16, 2012 | Investing in America’s economy: A budget blueprint for economic recovery
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Nov. 15, 2012 | The ‘fiscal cliff’ and beyond: Principles for upcoming budget debates
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Nov. 14, 2012 | Navigating the fiscal obstacle course: Supporting job creation with savings from ending the upper-income Bush-era tax cuts
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Nov. 1, 2012 | More extraordinary returns: Public investments outside of “core” infrastructure
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Sept. 26, 2012 | Who would promote job growth most in the near term?: Macroeconomic impacts of the Obama and Romney budget proposals
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Sept. 18, 2012 | A fiscal obstacle course, not a cliff: Economic impacts of expiring tax cuts and impending spending cuts, and policy recommendations
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April 18, 2012 | Public investment: The next ‘new thing’ for powering economic growth
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March 2, 2012 | Macroeconomic effects of regulatory changes in economies with large output gaps: The ‘toxics rule’ as an example
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Feb. 7, 2012 | The ‘toxics rule’ and jobs: The job-creation potential of the EPA’s new rule on toxic power-plant emissions
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Nov. 8, 2011 | Method memo on estimating the jobs impact of various policy changes
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Oct. 26, 2011 | Occupy Wall Streeters are right about skewed economic rewards in the United States
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Sept. 2, 2011 | Putting America back to work: Policies for job creation and stronger economic growth
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July 11, 2011 | A protection, not a windfall: Proposed change to Social Security COLA would further erode retirees’ financial security
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July 6, 2011 | Historically deep job loss, but not an unusual recovery
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June 14, 2011 | A lifesaver, not a job killer: EPA’s proposed “air toxics rule” is no threat to job growth
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April 6, 2011 | Abandoning what works (and most other things, too): Expansionary fiscal policy is still the best tool for boosting jobs
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March 9, 2011 | Why do some states have higher unemployment rates?: The new Chamber of Commerce report doesn’t provide the answer
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Feb. 17, 2011 | Recovery Act’s green investments create or save nearly one million jobs
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Sept. 14, 2010 | Down-Payment on Economic Recovery
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Aug. 3, 2010 | Putting Public Debt in Context
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July 26, 2010 | Government Debt and Economic Growth
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May 27, 2010 | Keeping Teachers on the Job Costs Less Than Advertised
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May 18, 2010 | Cheaper Than You Think—Why Smart Efforts to Spur Jobs Cost Less Than Advertised
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May 11, 2010 | The Class of 2010
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April 26, 2010 | Budget Deficits and Interest Rates
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March 31, 2010 | For job seekers, no recovery in sight—Why prospects for job growth and unemployment remain dim
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Feb. 4, 2010 | Jobs and Wages Tax Cut Should be Part of a New Jobs Package
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Feb. 4, 2010 | An analysis of Transportation for America’s Jobs Proposals
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Jan. 6, 2010 | Budgeting For Recovery—The Need to Increase the Federal Deficit to Revive a Weak Economy
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Dec. 11, 2009 | House health care bill is right on the money: Taxing high incomes better than taxing high premiums
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Oct. 29, 2009 | How we know the recovery package is helping
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July 30, 2009 | Should I play or should I pay?: The success of health care reform may come down to how we frame that pivotal decision
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July 30, 2009 | The health care free ride
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July 22, 2009 | Tri-Committee Bill Scores Big for Small Business
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July 22, 2009 | Health Care Reform—Big Benefits for Small Businesses
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April 7, 2009 | Transportation investments and the labor market: How many jobs could be generated and what type?
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April 7, 2009 | Green investments and the labor market: How many jobs could be generated and what type?
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April 7, 2009 | Tools for Assessing the Labor Market Impacts of Infrastructure Investment
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Feb. 13, 2009 | Squandering the blue-collar advantage
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Dec. 9, 2008 | A Feeble Recovery: The fundamental economic weaknesses of the 2001-07 expansion
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July 29, 2008 | Obama health plan outperforms McCain plan in coverage and efficiency
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May 6, 2008 | Trade, jobs, and wages
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Dec. 12, 2007 | The marketing of economics history: Inflating the importance of trade liberalization
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Dec. 12, 2007 | The gains from trade: How big and who gets them?
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Oct. 10, 2007 | Globalization and American Wages: Today and Tomorrow
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Sept. 6, 2007 | Globalization, American Wages, and Inequality: Past, Present, and Future
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June 19, 2007 | Marketing the Gains from Trade
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Sept. 25, 2006 | China Manipulates Its Currency—A Response is Needed
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June 14, 2006 | The Wal-Mart debate: A false choice between prices and wages
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June 14, 2006 | Wrestling with Wal-Mart: Tradeoffs between profits, prices, and wages
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March 13, 2006 | Trade deficits and manufacturing job loss: Correlation and causality
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Jan. 31, 2006 | Note to Fed: Don’t Base the Rate Hike on Capacity Utilization
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Oct. 25, 2005 | Reclaiming an economic future through democracy: A new direction for economic policy in the Americas
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Aug. 1, 2005 | Truth and consequences of offshoring: Recent studies overstate the benefits and ignore the costs to
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April 25, 2005 | Social Security’s fixable financing issues: Shortfall in funds is not inevitable
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Dec. 14, 2004 | Debt and the dollar: The U.S damages future living standards by borrowing…
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April 8, 2004 | Shifting blame for manufacturing job loss: Effect of rising trade deficit shouldn’t be ignored
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Aug. 1, 2003 | Updated Employment Multipliers for the U.S. Economy
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July 24, 2003 | The benefits of the dollar’s decline
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April 17, 2003 | Rights make might: Ensuring workers’ rights as a strategy for economic growth
Economic snapshot
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April 11, 2013 | Deficit reduction lost and found in the President’s 2014 budget
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March 21, 2013 | Back to Work—sooner rather than later
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Feb. 21, 2013 | Policymakers shouldn’t assume that a full recovery is four years away (and always will be)
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Oct. 24, 2012 | The rise of the top 1 percent—not the same everywhere
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Aug. 30, 2012 | A lost decade of income growth for working-age families
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May 10, 2012 | Taxes have fallen furthest for those at the very top
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April 5, 2012 | Public-sector job losses: An unprecedented drag on the recovery
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Nov. 9, 2011 | CEOs distance themselves from the average worker
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Oct. 27, 2011 | Three-fifths of all income growth from 1979-2007 went to the top 1%
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June 15, 2011 | Lack of jobs, not lack of skills, explains underemployment rate
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April 7, 2011 | Money well spent
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July 22, 2010 | Another consequence of the recession: Rising federal budget deficits
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Jan. 27, 2010 | Worst economic crisis since the Great Depression? By a long shot.
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Jan. 13, 2010 | Private sources of spending cannot sustain job growth
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April 29, 2009 | Unusually bad and getting worse
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Feb. 25, 2009 | Unions do not undermine international competitiveness
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Oct. 29, 2008 | American consumers shopped but have now dropped
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Sept. 10, 2008 | Not just gasoline: The sneakier squeeze on family budgets
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May 20, 2008 | The 21st Century G.I. Bill and short-sighted ‘deficit hawks’
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March 19, 2008 | As consumption goes, so goes the American economy
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Nov. 14, 2007 | GDP-per-worker comparisons around the world
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July 25, 2007 | Homeowners losing purchasing power
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April 4, 2007 | Current recovery great for profits, poor by most other measures
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Jan. 31, 2007 | GDP Picture, January 31, 2007
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Dec. 20, 2006 | A Plunging Dollar? How Far and Relative to What?
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Aug. 2, 2006 | Inflation: whose fault is it, anyway?
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May 10, 2006 | Critiquing misleading White House statements about the economy, part 3: International comparisons of economic growth
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May 4, 2006 | Critiquing misleading White House statements about the economy, part 2: International comparisons of employment growth
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April 26, 2006 | The Importance of Manufacturing in Balancing the U.S. Trade Deficit
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March 30, 2006 | Gross domestic income: profit growth swamps labor income
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Nov. 30, 2005 | Trade deficits and manufacturing employment
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Nov. 2, 2005 | Washington Consensus leads to productivity stagnation in South America
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Oct. 28, 2005 | GDP Picture: October 28, 2005
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Feb. 17, 2005 | Removing the Social Security earnings cap virtually eliminates funding gap
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Jan. 26, 2005 | Privatization fix for Social Security is worse than doing nothing
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Nov. 18, 2004 | Social Security and income
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July 28, 2004 | Growing ‘‘informalization’’ of employment in the developing world
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June 2, 2004 | IT software demand exceeds previous peak, employment still lags
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May 27, 2004 | When do workers get their share?
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March 15, 2004 | Lack of domestic demand is not the cause of manufacturing’s woes
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March 10, 2004 | Increase in hi-tech investment obscures weakness in overall manufacturing
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Feb. 11, 2004 | Wage and salary income yet to share in growth
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Dec. 10, 2003 | Fast growth for profits, slow growth for wages and benefits
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Nov. 19, 2003 | U.S. economy still showing signs of slack
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Aug. 20, 2003 | Defense spending skews economic growth estimates
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June 11, 2003 | Falling dollar, rising economy
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April 21, 2003 | U.S. may be on verge of deflationary spiral
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April 21, 2003 | Globalization disarms developing nations
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March 7, 2003 | Why we need stimulus: Symptoms of a defective economy
Economic Indicators
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April 26, 2013 | At 2.5 percent, U.S. GDP’s growth rate signals that a robust recovery has yet to take hold
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Jan. 30, 2013 | Economy’s contraction does not signal return to recession, but does signal that policymakers should target faster growth
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Oct. 26, 2012 | Inadequate GDP growth continues in the third quarter
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July 27, 2012 | Sluggish GDP growth continues in second quarter
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Jan. 27, 2012 | GDP growth disappointing in last quarter of 2011
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Oct. 27, 2011 | Best GDP growth in a year still not good enough
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July 29, 2011 | Slow economic growth raising unemployment rate
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April 28, 2011 | GDP Picture: First quarter growth dips, suggesting higher unemployment to come
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Jan. 28, 2011 | Fourth quarter growth data sends mixed message about economy’s health
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Oct. 29, 2010 | GDP Picture: A long, slow climb out of the recession
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July 30, 2010 | Slowing growth shows need for renewed policies to boost jobs and incomes
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April 30, 2010 | Growth is good, but faster growth needed to address unemployment
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Jan. 29, 2010 | Inventory blip boosted growth but won’t last
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Oct. 29, 2009 | GDP Picture, October 29, 2009
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July 31, 2009 | More than 500 days of recession
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April 29, 2009 | Upside surprise in consumption spending doesn’t stem sharp decline in economic growth
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Jan. 30, 2009 | Worse Than It Sounds: Largest GDP contraction since 1982 actually understates economy’s weakness
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Oct. 30, 2008 | Consumption spending falls for first time in 17 years: Economy shrinks two of last four quarters
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April 30, 2008 | GDP Picture, April 30, 2008
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Oct. 31, 2007 | Economy sees strong growth in the face of housing implosion
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July 27, 2007 | GDP Picture, July 27, 2007
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April 27, 2007 | GDP Picture, April 27, 2007
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Jan. 31, 2007 | GDP Picture, January 31, 2007
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Oct. 27, 2006 | GDP Picture, October 27, 2006
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July 28, 2006 | GDP Picture, July 28, 2006
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Jan. 27, 2006 | GDP Picture, January 27, 2006
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Oct. 28, 2005 | GDP Picture: October 28, 2005
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April 28, 2005 | GDP Picture: April 28, 2005
Testimony
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Feb. 8, 2012 | Testimony before the House Subcommittee on Energy and Power, for a hearing on “The American Energy Initiative”
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Feb. 16, 2011 | The Stimulus: two years later
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Feb. 9, 2011 | Monetary policy as macroeconomic stabilizer during the Great Recession
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July 14, 2010 | An Assessment of the American Recovery and Reinvestment Act
Book
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Jan. 7, 2011 | Failure by Design: The Story Behind America’s Broken Economy
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Nov. 13, 2008 | Everybody wins, except for most of us: What economics teaches about globalization
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March 1, 2005 | Good Jobs, Bad Jobs, No Jobs: Labor Markets and Informal Work in Egypt, El Salvador, India, Russia, and South Africa

Commentary
June 13, 2012 | It’s OK to add to debt to grow jobs
Dec. 22, 2011 | Payroll tax cut helps, but it’s a limited tool
May 13, 2011 | Macroeconomic Advisors, supply-side suspicions and false symmetry
March 9, 2011 | A bad answer to the wrong question
Feb. 16, 2011 | An investment that worked: The Recovery Act two years later
Nov. 16, 2010 | Fiscal commissioners’ proposal would cost millions of jobs
July 30, 2010 | Slowing growth shows need for renewed policies to boost jobs and incomes
Feb. 19, 2010 | A stark before-and-after picture
Oct. 29, 2009 | Recovery Act spurs genuine growth
Sept. 14, 2009 | Finishing strong
Sept. 9, 2009 | Health care reform: The endgame
Aug. 24, 2009 | Reform we can afford
July 29, 2009 | GDP Preview: The parachute deploys as Recovery Act takes hold
July 27, 2009 | Seeing the big picture on health reform and cost containment
July 16, 2009 | Looking for health care dollars in all the right places
June 27, 2003 | Zoellick’s Zealotry
June 23, 2003 | The War’s Other Shoe | EPI Viewpoints