Heidi Shierholz, who is currently the director of policy at the left-leaning Economic Policy Institute, said the employment and wages figures unveiled in Friday’s data show that reports of a labor shortage still aren’t right. Or, she said, it’s not a labor shortage we should be worried about.
“A concerning labor shortage would be very tight, strong wage growth that is not accompanied by strong job growth. That’s a bona fide labor shortage,” Shierholz said. When wage growth isn’t accompanied by accelerating job growth, that’s when we should get worried — and that’s not what’s happening here.
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“Are we seeing labor shortages that are really hurting us? I don’t see any evidence of that,” Shierholz said.
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“There are always pockets, there are always places where people can’t find the workers they need,” Shierholz said. But it’s not widespread enough to be a core dynamic in the labor market.
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Shierholz, for her part, said she doesn’t think those elevated wages will stick around.
“In low-wage industries, it’s even actually easier for employers to quote unquote ‘cut wages,’ without giving anyone an actual pay cut, because there’s a lot of turnover in industry,” she said. “That does make it easier to bring new people in at a lower level and sort of make the adjustment over time.”