2:39 We are through the first year of the Trump administration. What’s the big picture on policy changes they’ve undertaken over that time?
The Trump administration’s macroeconomic agenda harms affordability and raises inequality
Tariffs—Everything you need to know but were afraid to ask
The macroeconomics of the Trump administration
6:54 What are some key economic outcomes of the first year we should know about?
For more on the race between income, or pay, and prices, check out our Affordability webinar, What’s missing from the affordability debate?
10:01 Can you say more about what the delayed effect of some of Trump’s policies might be on economic outcomes as we move forward?
How Trump has dismantled the federal workforce in his first 100 days
You can’t starve the public sector to excellence
13:42 What role has immigration policy played in measurable trends over the past year, and what effects should we expect from it going forward?
16:44 Sometimes we hear that this immigration policy has led to greater opportunities for U.S.-born workers. Is there any truth to that?
Unemployment has increased for U.S.-born workers in the face of mass deportations
19:47 Where does AI fit into what’s happening in the U.S. economy over the past year?
How AI spending is impacting the U.S. economy
AI Adoption and Firms’ Job-Posting Behavior
24:10 You’ve mentioned the conflict with Iran a couple of times. What can we expect in terms of the effect of this on U.S. economic outcomes in the next 6-12 months?
31:01 Are you still seeing evidence of a K-shaped economy?
33:30 What is the current state of the productivity-pay gap, and where do you see it heading in the age of AI?
The productivity-pay gap
36:46 Can you compare U.S. economic performance to other countries’ economies?
Supporting manufacturing employment
40:46 Why are states like Texas so reluctant to raise the minimum wage and address affordable housing?
Minimum Wage Tracker
43:15 If incomes lag inflation, will that affect performance of housing, consumer, and student load debt? And if so, what are the likely knock-on effects?
46:51 A large percentage of U.S. G.D.P is from money spent by the top 5 or so percent of income earners. What happens when they pull back on spending?
48:36 The unemployment gap seems to be narrowing greatly between recent college graduates and other workers. Why is that the case? Is AI driving that?
50:52 How reliable is the data from the federal government, and what other sources are available for economic analysis?
53:51 Is there data to show what percent of consumer growth is based on credit card debt? How much longer can consumers support shopping with debt, and are defaults growing?