Figure B
Supplemental poverty rate, actual and simulated, 1967--2019
| Year | Anchored SPM Predicted | Anchored SPM |
|---|---|---|
| 1967 | 23.3% | 25.0% |
| 1968 | 22.4% | 23.2% |
| 1969 | 21.9% | 21.8% |
| 1970 | 22.1% | 21.6% |
| 1971 | 21.6% | 21.5% |
| 1972 | 20.6% | 19.9% |
| 1973 | 19.4% | 18.6% |
| 1974 | 19.8% | 19.6% |
| 1975 | 20.1% | 18.9% |
| 1976 | 19.0% | 18.2% |
| 1977 | 18.0% | 18.2% |
| 1978 | 16.8% | 17.4% |
| 1979 | 16.2% | 17.2% |
| 1980 | 16.6% | 18.7% |
| 1981 | 16.1% | 19.9% |
| 1982 | 17.0% | 21.0% |
| 1983 | 15.9% | 21.5% |
| 1984 | 14.0% | 20.4% |
| 1985 | 12.9% | 20.1% |
| 1986 | 12.1% | 19.4% |
| 1987 | 11.2% | 18.2% |
| 1988 | 10.1% | 18.2% |
| 1989 | 9.1% | 17.8% |
| 1990 | 8.8% | 18.4% |
| 1991 | 9.4% | 18.7% |
| 1992 | 8.6% | 19.1% |
| 1993 | 8.0% | 20.2% |
| 1994 | 7.0% | 18.7% |
| 1995 | 6.4% | 17.2% |
| 1996 | 5.4% | 17.1% |
| 1997 | 4.1% | 16.4% |
| 1998 | 2.7% | 15.3% |
| 1999 | 1.1% | 14.6% |
| 2000 | -0.2% | 14.1% |
| 2001 | 14.6% | |
| 2002 | 14.6% | |
| 2003 | 14.8% | |
| 2004 | 14.6% | |
| 2005 | 14.6% | |
| 2006 | 14.6% | |
| 2007 | 14.8% | |
| 2008 | 14.6% | |
| 2009 | 14.6% | |
| 2010 | 15.3% | |
| 2011 | 15.4% | |
| 2012 | 16.0% | |
| 2013 | 16.1% | |
| 2014 | 15.9% | |
| 2015 | 14.8% | |
| 2016 | 14.2% | |
| 2017 | 13.9% | |
| 2018 | ||
| 2019 |
Note: Simulated poverty rate is based on a model of the statistical relationship between growth in per capita GDP and poverty that prevailed between 1967 and 1979.
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