Table

State unemployment insurance initial claims predictions for week ending March 21 based on news reports, for 35 states and D.C.

State Projected claims
Alaska 5,000
Alabama 11,000
California 639,000
Colorado 43,000
Connecticut 60,000
District of Columbia 14,000
Delaware 18,000
Georgia 20,000
Hawaii 12,000
Iowa 67,000
Illinois 121,000
Indiana 43,000
Kansas 12,000
Kentucky 17,000
Louisiana 35,000
Massachusetts 108,000
Maryland 31,000
Maine 12,000
Minnesota 108,000
Michigan 123,000
Montana 13,000
North Carolina 94,000
New Hampshire 27,000
New Jersey 85,000
New Mexico 14,000
Ohio 149,000
Oklahoma 11,000
Oregon 94,000
Pennsylvania 354,000
Rhode Island 42,000
South Carolina 17,000
Tennessee 5,000
Texas 116,000
Virginia 43,000
Wisconsin 67,000
West Virginia 5,000
Total for 35 states and D.C. 2,630,000
Extrapolated total for all 50 states and D.C. 3,394,000
Economic Policy Institute

Note: The 35 states plus D.C. listed above accounted for 77.5% of unemployment claims in the four weeks prior to the week ending March 21, 2020. Therefore, we assume that 2,630,000 represents 77.5% of the total claims for all 50 states and D.C. in the week ending March 21, 2020, so the total estimated claims (rounded to the nearest thousand) are 2,630,000/0.775 ≈ 3,394,000.

Sources: Sources for each state’s projected claims can be found in column C of this spreadsheet.

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