This June, Oklahoma voters will have the opportunity to pass a historic minimum wage ballot initiative that would boost workers’ wages at a time when many are struggling with growing affordability challenges. State Question (SQ) 832 proposes gradually increasing the minimum wage from $7.25 to $15.00 an hour by 2029 (Table 1). Our analysis finds that this policy would raise wages for 357,700 Oklahoma workers—or roughly one-fifth (20.3%) of the state’s wage-earning workforce—by more than $783 million overall. This total includes both workers who would directly and indirectly see wage increases from the policy. On average, affected workers would gain $2,322 in annual pay if they worked full time and year-round.

The benefits of raising the minimum wage

Raising the minimum wage is a research-backed policy that increases earnings for low-wage workers without causing increases in unemployment or other negative economic side effects. A strong wage floor is also a powerful tool for making a more equitable economy. Almost two-thirds of the workers who would be affected by SQ 832 are women (63.3%). The policy would also disproportionately benefit workers of color. Hispanic workers make up 18.2% of the affected workers, compared with 11.0% of the total Oklahoma workforce. Black workers would be 10.6% of affected workers, while only making up 7.1% of the workforce (see Table 3).

The policy would also provide critical support to workers experiencing significant economic insecurity. Nearly three-fifths (59.3%) of the affected workers have incomes below 200% of the poverty line. Research shows that raising the minimum wage significantly reduces poverty, even as higher wages simultaneously reduce some workers’ and families’ eligibility for, and reliance on, public assistance programs.

A higher minimum wage would help combat the affordability crisis

While dozens of states and cities have passed minimum wage increases over the past 15 years, Oklahoma is one of 20 states that still uses the dismally low federal minimum wage of $7.25 an hour. Policymakers have not raised the federal minimum wage since July 2009, meaning that as prices throughout the economy have risen, the buying power of a paycheck at the federal minimum wage has fallen—substantially. Adjusting for inflation, the federal minimum wage is worth 30% less than it was in 2009. In fact, since 2025, the federal minimum wage has officially been a poverty-level wage under the Department of Health and Human Services’ guidelines. The stagnant federal minimum wage is one example of how economic policy in recent decades has suppressed workers’ wage growth, squeezing them as prices have continued to rise and creating the affordability crisis.

Fortunately, SQ 832 would not only raise the state minimum wage to more adequate levels, but also automatically adjust it for inflation beginning in 2030. Twenty-one states already use these automatic increases to ensure that low-wage workers don’t lose ground over time as prices rise.

SQ 832 would go a long way toward improving conditions for the lowest-paid workers in the state as they contend with rising housing, energy, and health insurance costs. However, the reality is that most Oklahoma workers face higher living costs than can be supported by a $15-per-hour wage. Figure A shows estimates of a living wage for a single adult in different Oklahoma metro areas using EPI’s Family Budget Calculator. All Oklahoma metro areas have living wages above $16 an hour. Workers in Tulsa, Oklahoma City, and Lincoln County must earn at least $18 an hour to meet the Family Budget Calculator threshold. Even the lowest-cost county in the state (McIntosh County, not shown) has a living wage greater than $15 an hour.

SQ 832’s $15 target would help hundreds of thousands of Oklahoma workers earn closer to a living wage and put Oklahoma’s wage standards more in line with many other states. As of January 2026, 17 states and the District of Columbia had at least a $15 minimum wage—including states such as Arizona, Missouri, and Nebraska.

Lawmakers and voters in many states have adopted higher state and local minimum wages both in response to federal inaction and because economic research has reached a strong consensus that raising the minimum wage, at least to levels attempted thus far, has not caused any measurable harm to employment.  

A $15 minimum wage in Oklahoma is not an outlier compared with policies in other states, even after accounting for differences in the labor markets of different jurisdictions. Economists use the minimum-to-median wage ratio (sometimes called the Kaitz index) to assess the “bite” or strength of the wage floor relative to wage levels in the area where the policy is taking place. This measure allows us to see how a $15 minimum wage compares in New York and Oklahoma, where the overall distribution of wages is substantially different. Most minimum wage research has studied policies with minimum-to-median wage ratios of .67 or less (i.e., a minimum wage raised as high as two-thirds the median wage in the same jurisdiction.) Table 2 shows the current and projected path of Oklahoma’s minimum-to-median wage ratio if SB 832 passes. The ratio would grow as the policy goes into effect, but it would likely never exceed 60%—meaning it is solidly in the range of policies that economists have studied and found no negative effect on employment.

Oklahoma’s current minimum wage suppresses pay for workers

Establishing and periodically raising a strong wage floor is necessary to counteract employers’ excess market power over workers, which keeps wages lower than they would be in a truly competitive market. Workers face a multitude of barriers which provide wage-setting leverage for employers. Workers often have limited information about wages and work policies at alternative employers and can be constrained in their job choices by limited transportation options or the need to maintain specific schedules for child care and other family needs. Low-wage workers typically have less financial ability than higher-wage workers to overcome these obstacles, and are more likely to encounter take-it-or-leave-it wage offers that prevent them from negotiating pay. These challenges (sometimes called “frictions”) add up, providing leverage for employers to pay lower wages than workers need—and lower than what is optimal for the local economy.

Oklahoma’s weak wage floor suppresses pay for hundreds of thousands of workers. The state has the third-highest share of workers earning less than $15 an hour (21%). Although there are relatively few workers who earn exactly $7.25 an hour, one undervalued benefit of a strong wage floor is that it supplies upwards pressure on the wages of low-wage workers who earn more than the minimum wage. These “spillover effects” mean that workers above the new minimum wage threshold also see wage increases as employers adjust other workers’ pay to maintain wage ladders and preserve seniority.

Oklahomans have a consequential opportunity to strengthen the wage floor and deliver a meaningful raise to hundreds of thousands of workers. A $15 minimum wage is evidence-backed, both by rigorous economic research and the recent experience of many other states. SQ 832 would support families as they struggle with the affordability crisis and generate lasting improvements to the health and equity of the economy.