Change in real family income of the middle fifth, actual and predicted, 2000–2018
* Path of income growth projected by a model based on the relationship between income growth and the unemployment rate from 1948–2010.
Note: Data are for money income.
Source: Authors' analysis of Current Population Survey Annual Social and Economic Supplement Historical Income Tables (Tables F-2, F-3, and F-5) and analysis based on forecasted unemployment rates from Congressional Budget Office (2012) and Moody's Analytics (2012)
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