The unauthorized immigrant population declined during the Great Recession and remained steady until increasing in 2022: Estimates of the unauthorized immigrant population in the United States, 2007–2023
| MPI | Pew | CMS | DHS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2007 | 12.2 | 12.2 | 11.8 | |
| 2008 | 11.1 | 11.7 | 12 | 11.6 |
| 2009 | 10.7 | 11.3 | 10.8 | |
| 2010 | 10.5 | 11.4 | 11.7 | 11.6 |
| 2011 | 10.5 | 11.5 | 11.3 | 11.5 |
| 2012 | 10.5 | 11.2 | 11 | 11.4 |
| 2013 | 10.6 | 11.2 | 11 | 11.2 |
| 2014 | 10.7 | 11.1 | 11 | 11.5 |
| 2015 | 10.9 | 11 | 11 | 11.4 |
| 2016 | 10.9 | 10.7 | 10.8 | 11.8 |
| 2017 | 10.9 | 10.5 | 10.6 | 11.4 |
| 2018 | 10.8 | 10.5 | 10.6 | 11.6 |
| 2019 | 10.7 | 10.2 | 10.4 | 11.1 |
| 2020 | 11.1 | 10.1 | 10.5 | |
| 2021 | 11.9 | 10.5 | 10.3 | |
| 2022 | 12.8 | 11 | 10.9 | 11 |
| 2023 | 13.7 | 11.7 |

Source: Jennifer Van Hook, Ariel G. Ruiz Soto, and Julia Gelatt, The Unauthorized Immigrant Population Expands amid Record U.S.-Mexico Border Arrivals, Migration Policy Institute, February 2025; Robert Warren, US Undocumented Population Increased to 11.7 Million in July 2023: Provisional CMS Estimates Derived from CPS Data, Center for Migration Studies, September 5, 2024; Ariel G. Ruiz Soto, Julia Gelatt, and Jennifer Van Hook, “Diverse Flows Drive Increase in U.S. Unauthorized Immigrant Population,” Commentaries, Migration Policy Institute, July 2024; Jennifer Van Hook, Julia Gelatt, and Ariel G. Ruiz Soto, “A Turning Point for the Unauthorized Immigrant Population in the United States,” Commentaries, Migration Policy Institute, September 2023; Robert Warren, “In 2019, the US Undocumented Population Continued a Decade-Long Decline and the Foreign-Born Population Neared Zero Growth,” Journal on Migration and Human Security 9, no. 1 (March 1, 2021): 31–43; Robert Warren, After a Decade of Decline, the US Undocumented Population Increased by 650,000 in 2022, Center for Migration Studies, January 28, 2024; Jeffrey S. Passel and Jens Manuel Krogstad, “What We Know About Unauthorized Immigrants Living in the U.S.,” Pew Research Center, July 22, 2024; Pew Research Center, “Unauthorized Immigrant Population Trends for States, Birth Countries, and Regions," June 12, 2019; Bryan Baker, Estimates of the Unauthorized Immigrant Population Residing in the United States: January 2015–January 2018, DHS, Office of Immigration Statistics, January 2021; Bryan Baker, Population Estimates: Illegal Alien Population Residing in the United States: January 2015, DHS Office of Immigration Statistics, December 2018; Bryan Baker and Robert Warren, Estimates of the Unauthorized Immigrant Population Residing in the United States: January 2018–January 2022, DHS Office of Homeland Security Statistics, April 2024.
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