Figure A1

Federal minimum wage as a share of the national median wage, 1968–2014 (actual) and 2015–2020 (projected)

March CPS Projected March CPS OECD Projected OECD CPS ORG Projected CPS ORG
1968 52.1% 55.0%
1969 47.9% 53.0%
1970 44.9% 49.0%
1971 43.4% 46.0%
1972 41.1% 44.0%
1973 38.1% 40.0%
1974 43.7% 44.0%
1975 42.8% 45.0%
1976 44.3% 47.0%
1977 41.6% 43.0%
1978 45.0% 47.0%
1979 45.9% 47.0% 50.2%
1980 45.0% 47.0% 49.6%
1981 45.0% 47.0% 48.6%
1982 42.1% 43.0% 44.7%
1983 40.4% 43.0% 44.7%
1984 38.5% 41.0% 41.9%
1985 36.6% 38.0% 40.6%
1986 35.5% 38.0% 38.3%
1987 34.7% 36.0% 37.2%
1988 33.3% 35.0% 36.5%
1989 32.0% 34.0% 34.4%
1990 35.1% 36.0% 38.0%
1991 37.9% 38.0% 41.4%
1992 36.3% 38.0% 39.7%
1993 36.1% 37.0% 38.6%
1994 35.4% 36.0% 36.9%
1995 34.9% 35.0% 35.7%
1996 37.9% 36.0% 39.6%
1997 39.1% 39.0% 41.2%
1998 37.6% 39.0% 39.6%
1999 36.1% 38.0% 38.1%
2000 35.2% 36.0% 36.8%
2001 33.8% 35.0% 34.7%
2002 32.9% 34.0% 34.3%
2003 32.1% 33.0% 33.5%
2004 31.2% 32.0% 32.2%
2005 30.6% 32.0% 31.7%
2006 29.9% 31.0% 30.6%
2007 32.9% 31.0% 33.8%
2008 35.2% 34.0% 36.4%
2009 38.4% 37.0% 38.7%
2010 38.2% 39.0% 38.0%
2011 38.1% 38.0% 37.7%
2012 37.9% 38.0% 37.5%
2013 37.7% 37.0% 36.8%
2014 37.0% 36.0% 36.0% 36.2%
2015 36.6% 36.6% 36.0% 35.8% 35.8%
2016 39.6% 39.0% 38.7%
2017 43.5% 43.0% 42.5%
2018 47.2% 46.0% 46.2%
2019 50.8% 50.0% 49.6%
2020 54.1% 53.0% 52.8%
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Note: Projections over 2015–2020 assume the minimum wage is gradually raised to $12.00 by 2020 as stipulated by the Raise the Wage Act of 2015. See data appendix for methodology.

Source: Authors' analysis of Current Population Survey (CPS) Annual Social and Economic Supplement microdata, CPS Outgoing Rotation Group microdata, and OECD (2015)

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