Headline numbers point to strong U.S. economic growth, but a look beneath the surface reveals much shakier ground. The economy is running on just one engine: spending tied to the AI buildout. If this spending falters, a recession could arrive quickly. At the same time, programs that help families weather economic downturns—like Medicaid and food stamps—have been weakened by cuts in the 2025 Republican tax and spending bill. This leaves millions of families more vulnerable to a recession, and the devastating economic consequences that come with it, unless policymakers take action.
On Thursday, November 19, at 1 p.m. EST, join EPI economists for a webinar discussing what could trigger the next recession, which warning signs to watch for in the data, and what policymakers should do if it hits. Register here.
