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Effect on hourly wage growth of 1 percentage-point decline in unemployment, by wage percentile and gender

Men Women
10th percentile* 1.86%  1.44%
50th percentile* 1.14%  0.92%
95th percentile** 0.39% 0.67%
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Economic Policy Institute

* Estimates for men and women are not statistically significantly different.
** Estimates for men are not statistically significant.

Note: Regression of hourly wages changes on contemporaneous unemployment rate, lagged value of productivity growth, time-period dummy variables, and lagged value of inflation.

Source: EPI analysis based on method described in Lawrence Mishel, Josh Bivens, Elise Gould, and Heidi Shierholz, The State of Working America, an Economic Policy Institute book published in 2012 by Cornell University Press

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