Undist Profits

No evidence that the TCJA has increased investment

Quarter Undistributed profits as % of corporate gross value added Real nonresidential fixed investment
2002Q2 3.2% -1.1%
2002Q3 3.7% -0.3%
2002Q4 4.0% -1.3%
2003Q1 4.4% 0.5%
2003Q2 3.5% 2.8%
2003Q3 4.2% 2.1%
2003Q4 3.8% 1.3%
2004Q1 4.4% -1.0%
2004Q2 4.8% 2.5%
2004Q3 5.0% 2.9%
2004Q4 2.9% 2.1%
2005Q1 5.1% 1.5%
2005Q2 6.0% 1.6%
2005Q3 8.0% 2.1%
2005Q4 9.7% 0.8%
2006Q1 4.7% 3.4%
2006Q2 4.4% 1.7%
2006Q3 3.9% 1.7%
2006Q4 2.0% 1.1%
2007Q1 1.7% 1.8%
2007Q2 2.1% 2.2%
2007Q3 0.7% 1.6%
2007Q4 -0.1% 1.5%
2008Q1 0.2% 0.4%
2008Q2 -0.1% 0.2%
2008Q3 0.4% -1.9%
2008Q4 -1.5% -5.8%
2009Q1 1.9% -7.5%
2009Q2 3.1% -3.0%
2009Q3 5.7% -0.6%
2009Q4 6.1% 0.7%
2010Q1 6.3% 0.7%
2010Q2 6.3% 3.3%
2010Q3 7.2% 2.7%
2010Q4 6.8% 1.9%
2011Q1 4.5% -0.1%
2011Q2 5.7% 2.6%
2011Q3 5.9% 4.7%
2011Q4 6.6% 2.6%
2012Q1 6.3% 2.6%
2012Q2 6.2% 2.2%
2012Q3 5.8% -0.3%
2012Q4 3.1% 1.1%
2013Q1 5.5% 1.3%
2013Q2 3.2% 0.3%
2013Q3 3.8% 1.7%
2013Q4 3.6% 2.0%
2014Q1 2.7% 1.3%
2014Q2 3.8% 2.3%
2014Q3 4.3% 2.1%
2014Q4 4.0% 0.5%
2015Q1 3.0% -0.4%
2015Q2 3.1% 0.5%
2015Q3 2.6% 0.3%
2015Q4 1.1% -1.0%
2016Q1 1.8% -0.3%
2016Q2 2.1% 0.9%
2016Q3 2.1% 1.1%
2016Q4 2.2% 0.0%
2017Q1 2.3% 2.3%
2017Q2 2.2% 1.8%
2017Q3 3.1% 0.8%
2017Q4 2.6% 1.2%
2018Q1 13.7%  2.8%
2018Q2 9.3% 2.1%
2018Q3 7.2% 0.6%
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Economic Policy Institute

Source: EPI analysis of data from table 1.1.6 from the National Income and Product Accounts (NIPA) from the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA).

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