Appendix Figure A

Real wage growth at each wage percentile by method, 2019–2024 (2024$)

Percentile Unsmoothed Smoothed
0
1
2
3
4
5
6 12.8%
7 11.7%
8 11.3%
9 15.4%
10 17.9% 15.3%
11 19.5% 15.2%
12 15.1% 14.6%
13 12.5% 13.6%
14 12.5% 12.5%
15 9.7% 11.6%
16 10.6% 11.1%
17 10.0% 11.1%
18 10.0% 11.2%
19 13.4% 11.4%
20 13.1% 11.4%
21 12.2% 11.2%
22 9.0% 10.7%
23 9.7% 10.2%
24 11.0% 9.7%
25 10.0% 9.1%
26 7.9% 8.5%
27 6.0% 7.9%
28 8.7% 7.6%
29 7.4% 7.4%
30 7.0% 7.4%
31 5.7% 7.5%
32 7.2% 7.8%
33 10.0% 7.9%
34 10.0% 7.8%
35 8.1% 7.6%
36 5.9% 7.1%
37 4.4% 6.8%
38 8.2% 6.6%
39 6.1% 6.4%
40 6.1% 6.4%
41 6.7% 6.5%
42 6.7% 6.5%
43 6.2% 6.5%
44 6.8% 6.4%
45 5.4% 6.4%
46 7.7% 6.4%
47 7.0% 6.3%
48 4.5% 6.0%
49 6.5% 5.8%
50 7.2% 5.8%
51 3.4% 5.6%
52 3.7% 5.6%
53 7.2% 5.9%
54 7.8% 6.1%
55 5.6% 6.1%
56 5.4% 6.1%
57 6.7% 6.1%
58 6.5% 5.8%
59 5.7% 5.6%
60 4.0% 5.3%
61 7.1% 5.1%
62 3.1% 4.9%
63 5.7% 4.9%
64 3.1% 5.0%
65 5.6% 5.3%
66 6.3% 5.4%
67 6.3% 5.4%
68 6.0% 5.2%
69 5.9% 5.0%
70 3.1% 4.6%
71 3.0% 4.4%
72 5.1% 4.4%
73 3.9% 4.4%
74 5.8% 4.5%
75 3.9% 4.5%
76 4.7% 4.6%
77 4.7% 4.6%
78 3.5% 4.6%
79 4.9% 4.7%
80 5.4% 4.8%
81 4.9% 4.8%
82 6.1% 4.8%
83 2.9% 4.6%
84 5.7% 4.6%
85 3.6% 4.6%
86 4.2% 4.7%
87 4.8% 5.1%
88 5.4% 5.5%
89 5.3% 5.6%
90 7.2% 6.9%
91 7.8%
92 5.8%
93 1.8%
94 -1.0%
95
96
97
98
99
100
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Economic Policy Institute

Note: Smoothed method refers to the averaged percentile method (Tedeschi 2024). 

Source: EPI analysis of the Current Population Survey Outgoing Rotation Group microdata, EPI Current Population Survey Extracts, Version 1.0.61 (2025a), microdata.epi.org. 

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