Table 8

Determinants of the service occupation intensity of the high school workforce, 1979–2007

A= + B + C – D
Years Service occupation employment intensity of  high school* workforce High school* intensity of service employment Service intensity of employment High school* intensity of overall workforce
1979 13.7% 69.5% 11.5% 58.4%
1989 16.6 67.1 12.4 50.2
1999 18.3 61.7 12.5 42.4
2007 20.3 56.6 13.9 38.9
Contribution to change, decades**
1979-1989 100.0% -75.1% 24.8% 150.3%
1989-1999 100.0 -84.7 11.1 173.6
1999-2007 100.0 -82.9 101.5 81.5
Contribution to change, longer periods**
1979-1999 100.0% -40.8% 29.8% 111.0%
1979-2007 100.0 -52.0 48.9 103.1

* Refers to workers with a high school credential or less education.
** Decomposition based on changes of logged values of A = B + C − D, where A, B, C, and D refer to variables with those column heads.  These are CPS ORG tabulations using Autor-Dorn occupation coding crosswalk. Service occupations exclude public safety occupations. Employment is hours-weighted. Employment trends are adjusted to remove inconsistencies due to coding changes in 1983 and 2003. Agriculture is excluded.

Source: Authors' analysis of Current Population Survey Outgoing Rotation Group microdata

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