Figure F

Actual GDP and Congressional Budget Office estimates of potential GDP, 2007Q4–2013Q4

2008 projection 2010 projection 2012 projection 2014 projection Actual
2007Q4 100 100 100 100 100
2008Q1 100.6827 100.623 100.5755 100.5785 99.32795
2008Q2 101.3665 101.2467 101.1463 101.137 99.82021
2008Q3 102.0511 101.8578 101.6996 101.669 99.32603
2008Q4 102.7361 102.448 102.2299 102.181 97.18969
2009Q1 103.4202 103.0135 102.7259 102.6465 95.83886
2009Q2 104.1049 103.5395 103.1672 103.0654 95.73791
2009Q3 104.7898 104.0305 103.5833 103.4577 96.04173
2009Q4 105.4752 104.4886 103.9805 103.83 96.95991
2010Q1 106.1622 104.9101 104.3572 104.1825 97.34352
2010Q2 106.8492 105.3086 104.7364 104.5349 98.27901
2010Q3 107.5384 105.6995 105.1191 104.8806 98.95491
2010Q4 108.2311 106.0949 105.5122 105.2331 99.64234
2011Q1 108.928 106.5143 105.9462 105.6121 99.3193
2011Q2 109.6316 106.9612 106.3955 105.9977 100.101
2011Q3 110.3414 107.4365 106.8575 106.3967 100.4403
2011Q4 111.0575 107.9423 107.3347 106.809 101.6402
2012Q1 111.781 108.481 107.8096 107.2279 102.5699
2012Q2 112.5097 109.0473 108.2854 107.6667 102.8776
2012Q3 113.2422 109.6419 108.7691 108.1056 103.5872
2012Q4 113.9772 110.2635 109.2632 108.5511 103.6247
2013Q1 114.7125 110.9051 109.7697 109.0033 103.9198
2013Q2 115.4481 111.5714 110.291 109.4554 104.5582
2013Q3 116.1837 112.2623 110.8286 109.9142 105.6235
2013Q4 116.9189 112.9741 111.3843 110.3797 106.4648
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Source: CBO (2014) and Bureau of Economic Analysis National Income and Product Accounts (NIPA) Table 1.1.6

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