Figure F
Trajectory of union density, 2016–2026
| Baseline | Optimistic* | Pessimistic** | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.3% |
| 2017 | 7.3 | 7.2 | 7.2 |
| 2018 | 7.3 | 7.2 | 7.0 |
| 2019 | 7.3 | 7.1 | 6.9 |
| 2020 | 7.3 | 7.1 | 6.7 |
| 2021 | 7.3 | 7.0 | 6.6 |
| 2022 | 7.3 | 6.92 | 6.4 |
| 2023 | 7.3 | 6.9 | 6.3 |
| 2024 | 7.3 | 6.9 | 6.2 |
| 2025 | 7.3 | 6.7 | 6.0 |
| 2026 | 7.3 | 6.7 | 5.86 |
Notes: *Decline at rates over 2007-17 (0.13/year) **Decline at rates over 2000-17 (0.21/year)
Source: EPI analysis of NLRB, NMB, BLS data
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