Figure A

The current economic expansion will soon be the longest in American history: Length of business cycles since 1945, measured in months from trough to peak

 

Trough (end of previous recession) Expansion’s duration (months) Projected future duration
Oct 1945 37
Oct 1949 45
May 1954 39
Apr 1958 24
Feb 1961 106
Nov 1970 36
Mar 1975 58
Jul 1980 12
Nov 1982 92
Mar 1991 120
Nov 2001 73
Jun 2009 117 3
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Note: The light blue part of the last bar indicates projected future duration of the current expansion through June 2019.

Source: Data from the National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER 2019)

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