Figure D

How Rar from Recovery Are We? Actual/Potential GDP (1- Output Gap) and EPOP for workers aged 25-54

EPOPs GDP share of Potential GDP
2000/01/01 0.818 1.025276
2000/04/01 0.817 1.035822
2000/07/01 0.812 1.027317
2000/10/01 0.813 1.024099
2001/01/01 0.813 1.011624
2001/04/01 0.808 1.009334
2001/07/01 0.803 0.997931
2001/10/01 0.798 0.993064
2002/01/01 0.797 0.993585
2002/04/01 0.794 0.991109
2002/07/01 0.792 0.988653
2002/10/01 0.79 0.981827
2003/01/01 0.789 0.97902
2003/04/01 0.79 0.980827
2003/07/01 0.787 0.990685
2003/10/01 0.787 0.993578
2004/01/01 0.788 0.994326
2004/04/01 0.79 0.995091
2004/07/01 0.791 0.996952
2004/10/01 0.79 0.999584
2005/01/01 0.792 1.00421
2005/04/01 0.793 1.003003
2005/07/01 0.795 1.005245
2005/10/01 0.793 1.004649
2006/01/01 0.797 1.011462
2006/04/01 0.797 1.009583
2006/07/01 0.798 1.003721
2006/10/01 0.801 1.004508
2007/01/01 0.802 0.999825
2007/04/01 0.8 1.002702
2007/07/01 0.798 1.003944
2007/10/01 0.797 1.002219
2008/01/01 0.799 0.992038
2008/04/01 0.795 0.989668
2008/07/01 0.789 0.975126
2008/10/01 0.78 0.947734
2009/01/01 0.766 0.930519
2009/04/01 0.76 0.925782
2009/07/01 0.755 0.925365
2009/10/01 0.75 0.930978
2010/01/01 0.751 0.933023
2010/04/01 0.753 0.934931
2010/07/01 0.75 0.937676
2010/10/01 0.749 0.939888
2011/01/01 0.752 0.936421
2011/04/01 0.751 0.938344
2011/07/01 0.75 0.937409
2011/10/01 0.752 0.942836
2012/01/01 0.757 0.943355
2012/04/01 0.757 0.942225
2012/07/01 0.757 0.945338
2012/10/01 0.758 0.940865
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Note: Shaded areas denote recessions

Source: Author's analysis of Bureau of Economic Analysis National Income and Product Accounts (Table 1.1.6),  Congressional Budget Office (2012)  and Current Population Survey (CPS) public data series

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