Figure B

No evidence that the TCJA has increased investment: Year-over-year change in real, nonresidential fixed investment, 2003Q1-2018Q3

date NRFI
2003Q1 -2.3%
2003Q2 1.6%
2003Q3 4.0%
2003Q4 6.8%
2004Q1 5.2%
2004Q2 4.9%
2004Q3 5.7%
2004Q4 6.5%
2005Q1 9.2%
2005Q2 8.2%
2005Q3 7.4%
2005Q4 6.1%
2006Q1 8.0%
2006Q2 8.2%
2006Q3 7.8%
2006Q4 8.1%
2007Q1 6.5%
2007Q2 7.0%
2007Q3 6.8%
2007Q4 7.3%
2008Q1 5.8%
2008Q2 3.8%
2008Q3 0.2%
2008Q4 -7.0%
2009Q1 -14.4%
2009Q2 -17.1%
2009Q3 -16.1%
2009Q4 -10.3%
2010Q1 -2.3%
2010Q2 4.1%
2010Q3 7.5%
2010Q4 8.9%
2011Q1 8.0%
2011Q2 7.3%
2011Q3 9.3%
2011Q4 10.0%
2012Q1 12.9%
2012Q2 12.6%
2012Q3 7.2%
2012Q4 5.6%
2013Q1 4.3%
2013Q2 2.3%
2013Q3 4.4%
2013Q4 5.4%
2014Q1 5.4%
2014Q2 7.6%
2014Q3 8.0%
2014Q4 6.4%
2015Q1 4.5%
2015Q2 2.7%
2015Q3 0.8%
2015Q4 -0.7%
2016Q1 -0.5%
2016Q2 -0.1%
2016Q3 0.8%
2016Q4 1.8%
2017Q1 4.4%
2017Q2 5.3%
2017Q3 5.0%
2017Q4 6.3%
2018Q1 6.7%
2018Q2 7.1%
2018Q3 6.4%

 

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Economic Policy Institute

Source: EPI analysis of data from table 1.1.6 from the National Income and Product Accounts (NIPA) from the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA).

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