Table A4

Comparing projections of top incomes in Pennsylvania with actual levels, 2000–2011

Projections based on Internal Revenue Service data Actual levels as reported by the Pennsylvania Department of Revenue
 Year Income share of the top 1% Average income of the top 1% Income share of the top 1% Average income of the top 1% Percentage-point difference between actual and projected income share of top 1% Projected average income of top 1% as share of actual
2000 17.5% $988,702 19.6% $1,112,708 2.1 89%
2001 15.5% $823,838 16.9% $901,064 1.4 91%
2002 14.7% $751,226 16.6% $847,263 1.9 89%
2003 15.3% $795,846 17.6% $916,052 2.3 87%
2004 16.0% $876,640 18.9% $1,033,381 2.9 85%
2005 17.9% $994,689 21.2% $1,180,531 3.3 84%
2006 18.3% $1,042,094 21.8% $1,238,940 3.5 84%
2007 18.9% $1,115,166 21.6% $1,273,945 2.7 88%
2008 16.9% $918,147 19.9% $1,086,298 3.0 85%
2009 15.9% $814,912 18.3% $936,591 2.4 87%
2010 17.4% $905,113 20.1% $1,052,402 2.7 86%
2011 17.0% $882,574 19.8% $1,023,723 2.8 86%
% change, 2009–2011  8.3%  9.3%
Average, 2000–2011 2.6  87%

Note: Data are for tax units.

Source: Authors' analysis of state-level tax data from Sommeiller (2006) extended to 2011 using state level data from the Internal Revenue Service SOI Tax Stats (various years), Piketty and Saez (2012), and the Pennsylvania Department of Revenue (various years)

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