Table 2

Decomposition of the 1.2 percentage-point increase in the long-term unemployment rate between June 2007 and June 2014

Percentage-points explained by: (1) (2) (3)
Changing demographics 0.0 0.0 0.0
Change in current unemployment rate 0.2 0.6 0.2
Long-run time trend 0.2 0.2
Change in unemployment rate over last six and 12 months 0.7
Unexplained 1.0 0.4 0.1
Total change 1.2 1.2 1.2

Note:  For methodological notes, see Appendix A.

Source:  Authors' analysis of basic monthly Current Population Survey microdata

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