Table 2

Outcomes following substantial increase in public investment, 2012–2021: Change in output and offset to federal deficit from public investments called for by Our Fiscal Security

Assumed rate of return: 15% Assumed rate of return: 30% Assumed rate of return: 45%
Proposed public Investment Resulting public capital stock Increase in GDP Deficit offset Increase in GDP Deficit offset Increase in GDP Deficit offset
$ Billions Share of GDP Share of GDP Share of GDP
2012 $250 $250 0.25% 0.75% 0.49% 0.80% 0.74% 0.89%
2013 200 438 0.41% 0.70% 0.82% 0.78% 1.24% 0.94%
2014 212 616 0.55% 0.79% 1.11% 0.89% 1.66% 1.10%
2015 225 782 0.67% 0.87% 1.34% 0.99% 2.02% 1.24%
2016 236 928 0.76% 0.95% 1.52% 1.06% 2.29% 1.35%
2017 248 1,067 0.84% 0.21% 1.67% 0.42% 2.51% 0.63%
2018 259 1,177 0.88% 0.25% 1.76% 0.50% 2.64% 0.75%
2019 270 1,271 0.91% 0.30% 1.82% 0.59% 2.73% 0.88%
2020 282 1,355 0.93% 0.34% 1.85% 0.68% 2.78% 1.01%
2021 294 1,431 0.93% 0.38% 1.87% 0.76% 2.80% 1.13%

Source: Author's analysis of Bureau of Economic Analysis Fixed-Assets Accounts (Table 7.1B and 7.6B) and Investing in America's Economy (Our Fiscal Security 2010)

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