Figure D

Inflation and wage growth

Price inflation Wage growth
2000Q1 1.6691% 3.7343%
2000Q2 1.6868% 3.8481%
2000Q3 1.8021% 3.8358%
2000Q4 1.8297% 4.1463%
2001Q1 1.8446% 4.0831%
2001Q2 1.9072% 3.9923%
2001Q3 1.7337% 3.6941%
2001Q4 1.7605% 3.3489%
2002Q1 1.4767% 2.9712%
2002Q2 1.6742% 2.6667%
2002Q3 1.9091% 2.9230%
2002Q4 1.7462% 3.0591%
2003Q1 1.7033% 3.2462%
2003Q2 1.4787% 2.9333%
2003Q3 1.3655% 2.5960%
2003Q4 1.3676% 1.9569%
2004Q1 1.6692% 1.7467%
2004Q2 1.9163% 2.0231%
2004Q3 1.9725% 2.1194%
2004Q4 2.0929% 2.4585%
2005Q1 2.1916% 2.5751%
2005Q2 2.1165% 2.6226%
2005Q3 2.0717% 2.7319%
2005Q4 2.2600% 3.0309%
2006Q1 2.1283% 3.4310%
2006Q2 2.2716% 3.9061%
2006Q3 2.3936% 4.0404%
2006Q4 2.1577% 4.1267%
2007Q1 2.3628% 4.1060%
2007Q2 2.0362% 4.0392%
2007Q3 1.9906% 4.0618%
2007Q4 2.2482% 3.7865%
2008Q1 2.1117% 3.7692%
2008Q2 2.2659% 3.6710%
2008Q3 2.2260% 3.7510%
2008Q4 1.6417% 3.8752%
2009Q1 1.1791% 3.6323%
2009Q2 1.1621% 3.1146%
2009Q3 0.9904% 2.7161%
2009Q4 1.4156% 2.6388%
2010Q1 1.5539% 2.4932%
2010Q2 1.3290% 2.4811%
2010Q3 1.2923% 2.3227%
2010Q4 0.9707% 2.2340%
2011Q1 1.0544% 2.0977%
2011Q2 1.3995% 2.0702%
2011Q3 1.6613% 2.0779%
2011Q4 1.8617% 1.8037%
2012Q1 2.0858% 1.5193%
2012Q2 1.9456% 1.5469%
2012Q3 1.7476% 1.3514%
2012Q4 1.7784% 1.4310%
2013Q1 1.6282% 1.9388%
2013Q2 1.4418% 1.9127%
2013Q3 1.4803% 2.1772%
2013Q4 1.4910% 2.3010%
2014Q1 1.4830% 2.3857%
2014Q2 1.7088% 2.3916%
2014Q3 1.7311% 2.3621%
2014Q4 1.5655% 2.1343%
2015Q1 1.4372% 1.8739%
2015Q2 1.3669% 2.0438%
2015Q3 1.3499% 2.0817%
2015Q4 1.3691% 2.3308%
2016Q1 1.6059% 2.4472%
2016Q2 1.6136% 2.4797%
2016Q3 1.6908% 2.5767%
2016Q4 1.7221% 2.1363%

 

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Source: Author’s analysis of data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) and the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA). Inflation is the four-quarter change in the price index for core personal consumption expenditures from the BEA. Wage growth is the four-quarter change in average hourly earnings of production and nonsupervisory workers from the Current Employment Statistics program of the BLS.

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