Figure B
Warehouse employment before and after Amazon warehouse openings: Elasticity of employment relative to time of warehouse opening
Common time fixed effects
| Years from warehouse opening | Elasticity | Elasticity, low estimate | Elasticity, high estimate |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | |||
| -2.25 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| -2 | 0.026244 | -0.08078 | 0.133266 |
| -1.75 | 0.069295 | -0.07199 | 0.210582 |
| -1.5 | 0.072908 | -0.02958 | 0.175391 |
| -1.25 | 0.088265 | -0.02419 | 0.200718 |
| -1 | 0.115294 | -0.04145 | 0.272044 |
| -0.75 | 0.038376 | -0.07445 | 0.151202 |
| -0.5 | 0.047296 | -0.07774 | 0.172335 |
| -0.25 | 0.073267 | -0.06984 | 0.216374 |
| 0 | 0.162301 | -0.04347 | 0.36807 |
| 0.25 | 0.123116 | -0.02246 | 0.268688 |
| 0.5 | 0.174929 | 0.007728 | 0.342129 |
| 0.75 | 0.1995 | -0.00733 | 0.40633 |
| 1 | 0.27179 | -0.03206 | 0.575643 |
| 1.25 | 0.313988 | 0.021608 | 0.606368 |
| 1.5 | 0.289925 | -0.0274 | 0.607251 |
| 1.75 | 0.364353 | -0.04777 | 0.776472 |
| 2 | 0.333742 | 0.000624 | 0.66686 |
Division-specific time fixed effects
| Years from warehouse opening | Elasticity | Elasticity, low estimate | Elasticity, high estimate |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | |||
| -2.25 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| -2 | 0.027532 | -0.07828 | 0.133344 |
| -1.75 | 0.078739 | -0.06221 | 0.219693 |
| -1.5 | 0.082816 | -0.01854 | 0.184168 |
| -1.25 | 0.098025 | -0.01352 | 0.209568 |
| -1 | 0.127278 | -0.0315 | 0.286053 |
| -0.75 | 0.045728 | -0.06968 | 0.161138 |
| -0.5 | 0.054637 | -0.07489 | 0.184165 |
| -0.25 | 0.084618 | -0.05738 | 0.226611 |
| 0 | 0.179191 | -0.0262 | 0.384585 |
| 0.25 | 0.133828 | -0.00853 | 0.276185 |
| 0.5 | 0.182767 | 0.009012 | 0.356522 |
| 0.75 | 0.210574 | 0.002766 | 0.418382 |
| 1 | 0.292519 | -0.01344 | 0.598475 |
| 1.25 | 0.3454 | 0.057084 | 0.633717 |
| 1.5 | 0.319969 | -0.0042 | 0.644138 |
| 1.75 | 0.413955 | 0.004602 | 0.823308 |
| 2 | 0.368686 | 0.037466 | 0.699906 |
Amazon fulfillment centers increase county warehousing employment: Change in county warehousing employment before and after opening an Amazon fulfillment center, using state-specific time fixed effects model
| Years from warehouse opening | Elasticity | Elasticity, low estimate | Elasticity, high estimate |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | |||
| -2.25 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
| -2 | 3.97% | -6.42% | 14.36% |
| -1.75 | 9.31% | -5.82% | 24.44% |
| -1.5 | 9.88% | 0.23% | 19.52% |
| -1.25 | 11.34% | 0.44% | 22.24% |
| -1 | 15.42% | -0.66% | 31.49% |
| -0.75 | 6.53% | -3.81% | 16.86% |
| -0.5 | 7.53% | -3.99% | 19.06% |
| -0.25 | 11.23% | -1.65% | 24.10% |
| 0 | 21.14% | 1.44% | 40.84% |
| 0.25 | 14.42% | 1.08% | 27.75% |
| 0.5 | 20.78% | 3.82% | 37.74% |
| 0.75 | 24.90% | 3.84% | 45.97% |
| 1 | 36.14% | 5.18% | 67.11% |
| 1.25 | 42.82% | 14.54% | 71.09% |
| 1.5 | 43.66% | 7.55% | 79.77% |
| 1.75 | 54.66% | 7.63% | 101.70% |
| 2 | 51.18% | 13.67% | 88.68% |
Source: MWPVL International and QCEW