Table

Per capita Medicare spending, 2023-2087

Alternative fiscal scenario (2012$) Ryan voucher (2012$) Difference (2012$) Difference/ alt. fisc. scen. (%)
2023 $6,765 $6,048 $718 11%
2024 $6,934 $6,137 $797 11%
2025 $7,096 $6,218 $878 12%
2026 $7,250 $6,291 $959 13%
2027 $7,458 $6,410 $1,049 14%
2028 $7,613 $6,480 $1,133 15%
2029 $7,829 $6,600 $1,229 16%
2030 $8,015 $6,693 $1,322 16%
2031 $8,235 $6,813 $1,423 17%
2032 $8,447 $6,923 $1,524 18%
2033 $8,670 $7,041 $1,629 19%
2034 $8,929 $7,184 $1,744 20%
2035 $9,174 $7,315 $1,859 20%
2036 $9,431 $7,452 $1,979 21%
2037 $9,698 $7,595 $2,103 22%
2038 $9,995 $7,759 $2,236 22%
2039 $10,254 $7,890 $2,364 23%
2040 $10,545 $8,044 $2,502 24%
2041 $10,844 $8,201 $2,643 24%
2042 $11,110 $8,331 $2,780 25%
2043 $11,441 $8,506 $2,935 26%
2044 $11,776 $8,682 $3,094 26%
2045 $12,114 $8,857 $3,257 27%
2046 $12,438 $9,019 $3,419 27%
2047 $12,747 $9,168 $3,579 28%
2048 $13,095 $9,342 $3,752 29%
2049 $13,461 $9,527 $3,934 29%
2050 $13,827 $9,709 $4,119 30%
2051 $14,210 $9,900 $4,310 30%
2052 $14,557 $10,063 $4,494 31%
2053 $14,937 $10,247 $4,691 31%
2054 $15,316 $10,426 $4,889 32%
2055 $15,676 $10,592 $5,084 32%
2056 $16,095 $10,794 $5,301 33%
2057 $16,553 $11,020 $5,533 33%
2058 $16,963 $11,210 $5,752 34%
2059 $17,399 $11,415 $5,983 34%
2060 $17,866 $11,638 $6,227 35%
2061 $18,310 $11,844 $6,466 35%
2062 $18,789 $12,069 $6,720 36%
2063 $19,256 $12,283 $6,972 36%
2064 $19,779 $12,531 $7,248 37%
2065 $20,291 $12,769 $7,522 37%
2066 $20,865 $13,043 $7,822 37%
2067 $21,393 $13,284 $8,108 38%
2068 $21,901 $13,512 $8,390 38%
2069 $22,456 $13,765 $8,691 39%
2070 $22,980 $13,997 $8,983 39%
2071 $23,640 $14,309 $9,331 39%
2072 $24,259 $14,592 $9,667 40%
2073 $24,805 $14,829 $9,976 40%
2074 $25,481 $15,141 $10,339 41%
2075 $26,177 $15,463 $10,714 41%
2076 $26,782 $15,728 $11,054 41%
2077 $27,472 $16,039 $11,433 42%
2078 $28,239 $16,392 $11,847 42%
2079 $28,867 $16,662 $12,205 42%
2080 $29,576 $16,977 $12,599 43%
2081 $30,395 $17,350 $13,045 43%
2082 $31,080 $17,644 $13,435 43%
2083 $31,852 $17,986 $13,866 44%
2084 $32,646 $18,338 $14,308 44%
2085 $33,392 $18,661 $14,732 44%
2086 $34,287 $19,062 $15,225 44%
2087 $35,151 $19,443 $15,707 45%

Source: EPI calculations based on U.S. Congressional Budget Office, "The Long-Term Budgetary Impact of Paths for Federal Revenues and Spending Specified by Chairman Ryan" (March 2012) and "Long Term Budget Outlook" (June 5, 2012)

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