Figure A

Aggregate demand not excessive relative to pre-pandemic capacity: Actual and potential GDP in $billions, 2017–present

Year Potential Actual
2017Q1 $18,209.5 $17,896.6
2017Q2 $18,284.5 $17,996.8
2017Q3 $18,362.1 $18,126.2
2017Q4 $18,441.6 $18,296.7
2018Q1 $18,523.9 $18,436.3
2018Q2 $18,609.6 $18,590.0
2018Q3 $18,698.1 $18,679.6
2018Q4 $18,787.9 $18,721.3
2019Q1 $18,879.0 $18,833.2
2019Q2 $18,971.4 $18,982.5
2019Q3 $19,064.1 $19,112.7
2019Q4 $19,157.1 $19,202.3
2020Q1 $19,250.2 $18,952.0
2020Q2 $19,340.2 $17,258.2
2020Q3 $19,424.2 $18,560.8
2020Q4 $19,512.0 $18,767.8
2021Q1 $19,602.5 $19,055.7
2021Q2 $19,697.4 $19,368.3
2021Q3 $19,795.8 $19,465.2
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Source: Author’s analysis of Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) NIPA Table 1.5.6 Real Gross Domestic Product, Expanded Detail, Chained Dollars.

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