Blog | Program on Race, Ethnicity, and the Economy

In Trump’s economy, Black adults and their families face worsening job security and financial stability

The Trump-Vance administration inherited a strong labor market with record employment and wage gains. But after a year of the administration’s economic mismanagement, workers are feeling more vulnerable to the softening labor market. While the president is busy touting the stock market’s performance, working people and families are expressing concerns about job security and affordability. This is evident in the Federal Reserve’s latest Survey of Household Economics and Decisionmaking (SHED), which shows an increase in the number of adults who worry about finding or keeping a job. More than 2 out of 5 adults reported concerns about finding or keeping a job in 2025, up from 37% in 2024.

The latest SHED survey also shows that the harm caused by the administration’s economic chaos has not affected all people equally. Structural inequities embedded in the U.S. economy and labor market have historically left communities of color disproportionately vulnerable to economic insecurity and poverty, and the Federal Reserve’s survey shows that this trend is continuing. While the overall financial well-being of most adults held steady in 2025, the financial well-being of Black adults declined. These individuals were also more likely to experience layoffs, leaving a higher share of Black adults and their families with increased fear of finding or keeping a job in 2025. The added employment uncertainty of Black adults also left them significantly more likely to report major concerns about making ends meet. The survey also shows that education largely failed to protect these individuals from the experience of increased economic fragility.

Black adults find themselves in the worst financial position in nearly a decade

In 2025, Black adults were most likely to report a decline in their financial standing. The share of Black adults “doing okay” or “living comfortably” declined by almost 5 percentage points last year to 60% (see Figure A). This is the lowest figure the Survey of Household Economic and Decisionmaking survey has recorded since 2015. The 2025 figure also reflects a steep decline from the high of 2023, when nearly 68% of Black adults answered questions about their financial well-being positively. We find that the bulk of the decline last year took place among the individuals who reported “living comfortably,” as this share declined from 23% in 2024 to 19.0%.

Figure A

The overall financial well-being of Black adults deteriorated last year: Share of adults doing okay or living comfortably by race and ethnicity, 2015–2025

Year White Black Hispanic
2015 71% 61% 63%
2016 72% 64% 64%
2017 77% 65% 66%
2018 78% 66% 67%
2019 79% 65% 66%
2020 80% 64% 64%
2021 81% 68% 71%
2022 77% 64% 64%
2023 76% 68% 61%
2024 77% 65% 63%
2025 79% 60% 62%
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Economic Policy Institute

Note: Race and ethnicity are mutually exclusive (i.e., white non-Hispanic, Black non-Hispanic, Hispanic any race). Data points have been rounded down to the nearest whole number. 

Source: Author’s analysis of Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, Survey of Household Economics and Decisionmaking (Washington: Board of Governors, 2016–2026).

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Higher education largely failed to protect Black individuals from added financial insecurity under the Trump-Vance economy. While nearly all Black adults with varying levels of education experienced a deterioration of their financial position last year, the situation of adults with a college education worsened the most (see Figure B). The share of these individuals doing okay or living comfortably, for example, declined by nearly 7 percentage points last year.

Figure B

Education failed to protect Black adults from a worsening financial situation last year: Share of Black adults doing okay or living comfortably by race, 2024–2025

2024 2025
No HS/GED 43.44% 42.37%
HS/GED  57.77% 53.71%
Some college  65.84% 61.08%
Bachelor’s degree+ 80.44% 73.50%
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Economic Policy Institute

Notes: Race and ethnicity are mutually exclusive (i.e., Black non-Hispanic). Some college includes an associate degree. 

Source: Author’s analysis of Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, Survey of Household Economics and Decisionmaking (Washington: Board of Governors, 2025, 2026).

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Black adults were more likely to experience a sharp increase in layoffs last year

By summer 2025, job growth had slowed considerably, and Black workers were among the first to experience this slowdown with a rising rate of unemployment. The uneven impact of these debilitating forces last year comes across clearly in the Federal Reserve survey. The share of Black adults who reported experiencing a job loss increased by about 3 percentage points between 2024 and 2025 (see Figure C). This reflects the largest increase among all racial and ethnic groups. In fact, Black adults were more than twice as likely as their white, non-Hispanic peers to report layoffs last year. This reality aligns with the broader labor market position of Black workers, who experienced a steeper rise in their unemployment rate in 2025 and who remained about twice as likely as their white peers to be unemployed. 

Figure C

Layoffs increased most sharply for Black adults last year: Share of adults who experienced a layoff or job loss by race and ethnicity, 2024–2025

2024 2025
White  4.73% 5.38%
Black  9.99% 12.69%
Hispanic 8.18% 9.56%
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Economic Policy Institute

Note: Race and ethnicity are mutually exclusive (i.e., white non-Hispanic, Black non-Hispanic, Hispanic any race).

Source: Author’s analysis of Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, Survey of Household Economics and Decisionmaking (Washington: Board of Governors, 2025, 2026).

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As the pace of job growth slowed and the unemployment rate rose in the first year of the Trump-Vance administration, people’s concern with finding or keeping a job increased. But this increased employment vulnerability and insecurity fell most heavily on Black individuals and their families (see Figure D). More than half of Black adults said that finding or keeping a job was either a minor or major concern for them or their families last year. This figure increased by nearly 10 percentage points between 2024 and 2025. In fact, Black adults of all education levels reported increased concerns about finding or keeping a job last year. 

Figure D

Employment concerns rose sharply for Black and Hispanic adults and their families last year: Share of adults concerned about finding or keeping a job by race and ethnicity, 2024–2025

2024 2025
White  30.28% 32.47%
Black  46.35% 55.12%
Hispanic 46.93% 54.87%

 

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Economic Policy Institute

Note: Race and ethnicity are mutually exclusive (i.e., white non-Hispanic, Black non-Hispanic, Hispanic any race).

Source: Author’s analysis of Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, Survey of Household Economics and Decisionmaking (Washington: Board of Governors, 2025, 2026).

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Black adults and their families have grown increasingly more concerned about their economic security

The added employment vulnerability, combined with the impact of the ongoing affordability crisis, has also left more Black individuals and their families worried about their ability to make ends meet. More than 3 out of 4 (77.5%) Black adults reported that making ends meet was at least a minor concern for them and their families last year (see Figure E). This figure increased by about 8 percentage points between 2024 and 2025, leaving Black adults of all education levels more economically vulnerable last year. In contrast, the share of white, non-Hispanic adults who reported similar concerns declined marginally during the same period.

Figure E

Concerns about making ends meet increased sharply for Black adults and their families last year: Share of adults concerned about making ends meet by race and ethnicity, 2024–2025

2024 2025
White  56.15% 55.25%
Black  69.03% 77.47%
Hispanic  73.04% 77.29%

 

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Economic Policy Institute

Note: Race and ethnicity are mutually exclusive (i.e., white non-Hispanic, Black non-Hispanic, Hispanic any race). 

Source: Author’s analysis of Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, Survey of Household Economics and Decisionmaking (Washington: Board of Governors, 2025, 2026).

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We cannot address the affordability crisis without dealing with its root causes

The Federal Reserve survey points to the relationship between employment, economic security, and well-being. The uneven impact of the weaker job market last year resulted in increased employment and economic uncertainty for Black adults and their families. The survey findings are a reminder that ongoing discussions about the affordability crisis shouldn’t ignore the role of employment, wages and income. Affordability remains an outcome of a race between income and prices, and we know that the pace of job and wage growth is a policy choice. While there is no silver bullet, we know that a broad basket of policies is needed, including a higher wage floor, increased union density, and macroeconomic policies that reduce inequality.


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