Table 1

Estimated jobs lost due to coronavirus by summer 2020, by state

Projected job losses, layoffs, or furloughs Implied unemployment
State As a share of total private-sector employment Level Unemployment rate, July 2020 Level in July assuming no change in labor force Leisure, hospitality, and retail as a share of total private-sector employment
United States 15.4% 19,800,000 15.6%  25,587,000 25.1%
 Alabama 15.7% 264,599 14.5%  324,318 26.1%
 Alaska 16.5% 41,284 17.8%  61,381 28.7%
 Arizona 15.7% 395,675 15.4%  556,971 26.1%
 Arkansas 15.1% 160,885 15.3%  208,684 24.1%
 California 15.4% 2,276,965 15.6%  3,036,079 24.9%
 Colorado 15.8% 369,268 14.1%  449,564 26.5%
 Connecticut 14.8% 213,973 14.8%  286,614 22.9%
 Delaware 15.8% 63,086 16.8%  82,314 26.4%
Washington D.C. 13.5% 75,412 23.4%  96,755 18.7%
 Florida 17.0% 1,330,384 15.5%  1,621,074 30.2%
 Georgia 15.5% 608,459 14.9%  769,594 25.4%
 Hawaii 19.2% 101,550 17.8%  119,383 37.3%
 Idaho 16.0% 101,145 14.0%  124,987 27.0%
 Illinois 14.7% 779,358 15.6%  998,175 22.8%
 Indiana 14.8% 404,564 15.0%  509,741 23.0%
 Iowa 15.1% 200,329 14.2%  249,590 24.1%
 Kansas 14.9% 173,468 14.7%  220,282 23.4%
 Kentucky 15.5% 251,846 16.3%  339,783 25.3%
 Louisiana 16.3% 269,477 18.0%  379,346 27.8%
 Maine 16.3% 87,172 15.7%  109,210 28.0%
 Maryland 15.3% 347,146 13.9%  454,653 24.8%
 Massachusetts 14.6% 473,058 15.1%  579,584 22.5%
 Michigan 14.9% 570,678 15.2%  751,041 23.5%
 Minnesota 14.6% 371,435 15.0%  467,546 22.3%
 Mississippi 16.8% 154,362 17.5%  222,798 29.7%
 Missouri 15.4% 378,437 15.7%  488,098 24.9%
 Montana 17.5% 68,753 16.3%  87,436 31.8%
 Nebraska 14.9% 127,103 15.1%  157,078 23.4%
 Nevada 20.1% 251,388 19.7%  307,555 40.2%
 New Hampshire 16.3% 97,024 15.0%  116,957 28.1%
 New Jersey 14.9% 536,383 15.6%  710,234 23.5%
 New Mexico 16.4% 109,430 16.2%  155,394 28.2%
 New York 14.7% 1,216,262 16.4%  1,570,495 22.6%
 North Carolina 15.8% 608,571 15.5%  791,169 26.5%
 North Dakota 15.1% 53,892 15.6%  62,927 24.2%
 Ohio 14.9% 714,752 16.4%  955,547 23.4%
 Oklahoma 15.7% 212,005 14.7%  270,402 26.0%
 Oregon 15.6% 256,851 15.5%  325,907 25.8%
 Pennsylvania 14.5% 777,550 16.6%  1,086,433 22.1%
 Rhode Island 15.3% 67,023 15.4%  85,790 24.7%
 South Carolina 16.6% 300,968 15.0%  359,582 28.8%
 South Dakota 16.1% 58,088 15.8%  73,693 27.3%
 Tennessee 15.5% 417,383 15.8%  531,869 25.5%
 Texas 15.4% 1,669,677 15.2%  2,162,152 25.1%
 Utah 15.4% 201,590 14.8%  242,044 25.1%
 Vermont 16.5% 42,746 15.0%  50,941 28.5%
 Virginia 15.3% 507,870 14.0%  625,136 24.6%
 Washington 15.6% 449,348 15.2%  601,103 25.6%
 West Virginia 16.1% 91,477 16.3%  131,158 27.3%
 Wisconsin 14.7% 377,704 15.6%  486,560 22.6%
 Wyoming 16.8% 37,149 16.3%  48,027 29.7%

Source: Economic Policy Institute analysis of Bureau of Labor Statistics Current Employment Statistics and Local Area Unemployment Statistics data and Goldman Sachs March 31, 2020, US Economic Analyst forecast

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