Table 1

Union effects on nonunion, non–college degree private-sector wages, 1979–2013: Comparison of high-, mid-, and low-range estimates (2013 dollars)

1983 1993 2003 2013
$ % $ % $ % $ %
Men
High-range 22.30 3.0 46.82 6.5 66.38 8.3 70.44 9.3
Mid-range 18.61 2.5 38.82 5.4 54.62 6.9 58.31 7.7
Low-range (1) 12.78 1.7 26.41 3.7 37.83 4.7 40.27 5.3
Low-range (2) 18.60 2.5% 38.38 5.3 55.08 6.9 58.62 7.7
Women
High-range 7.34 1.4 15.72 2.8 19.77 3.2 18.65 3.1
Mid-range 4.95 1.0 10.61 1.9 13.19 2.1 12.59 2.1
Low-range (1) 4.22 0.8 9.01 1.6 11.43 1.8 10.79 1.8
Low-range (2) 6.41 1.2 13.69 2.5 17.39 2.8 16.38 2.8

Notes: Sample restricted to nonunion, non–college degree full-time workers in the private sector ages 16 to 64. The mid-range estimates are drawn from the analyses presented in Figure D; the high-range estimates come from models that remove the employment demand control; and we calculate two sets of low-range estimates: (1) models include industry fixed effects (but remove the manufacturing control) and (2) models include industry-region fixed effects (removing the manufacturing and region controls). See the text and Methodological Appendix for details on the analysis.

Source: Authors’ compilations from the Current Population Survey (CPS) May Supplement microdata and CPS Outgoing Rotation Group microdata.

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