Number of salaried workers left behind by the Trump overtime proposal, by demographic group, projected for 2020
Workers left behind by 2019 proposal | Under the 2016 rule | Under the 2019 proposal | ||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Group | Total workers left behind | Workers who would have gotten new protections under 2016 rule | Workers who would have gotten strengthened protections under 2016 rule | Total affected workers | Workers with new protections | Workers with strengthened protections | Total affected workers | Workers with new protections | Workers with strengthened protections | Total salaried workers in the U.S. |
All | 8,240,000 | 3,140,000 | 5,100,000 | 13,470,000 | 4,550,000 | 8,920,000 | 5,230,000 | 1,410,000 | 3,820,000 | 59,140,000 |
Gender | ||||||||||
Male | 4,000,000 | 1,330,000 | 2,670,000 | 6,560,000 | 1,970,000 | 4,590,000 | 2,560,000 | 640,000 | 1,920,000 | 32,570,000 |
Female | 4,240,000 | 1,810,000 | 2,440,000 | 6,910,000 | 2,580,000 | 4,340,000 | 2,670,000 | 770,000 | 1,900,000 | 26,570,000 |
Parenthood | ||||||||||
Not a parent | 5,540,000 | 2,120,000 | 3,410,000 | 9,060,000 | 3,060,000 | 6,000,000 | 3,520,000 | 940,000 | 2,580,000 | 37,470,000 |
Father | 1,320,000 | 420,000 | 900,000 | 2,130,000 | 630,000 | 1,510,000 | 810,000 | 210,000 | 600,000 | 12,210,000 |
Mother | 1,390,000 | 600,000 | 790,000 | 2,280,000 | 860,000 | 1,420,000 | 890,000 | 260,000 | 630,000 | 9,460,000 |
Race/ethnicity | ||||||||||
White | 5,250,000 | 2,160,000 | 3,090,000 | 8,220,000 | 3,120,000 | 5,100,000 | 2,970,000 | 950,000 | 2,010,000 | 40,680,000 |
Black | 1,010,000 | 340,000 | 670,000 | 1,680,000 | 480,000 | 1,200,000 | 670,000 | 140,000 | 520,000 | 5,460,000 |
Hispanic | 1,280,000 | 350,000 | 920,000 | 2,410,000 | 530,000 | 1,880,000 | 1,130,000 | 180,000 | 960,000 | 7,230,000 |
Asian | 550,000 | 230,000 | 330,000 | 930,000 | 340,000 | 580,000 | 370,000 | 120,000 | 260,000 | 4,810,000 |
Others | 150,000 | 50,000 | 90,000 | 230,000 | 70,000 | 160,000 | 90,000 | 20,000 | 70,000 | 960,000 |
Age group | ||||||||||
16–24 | 510,000 | 200,000 | 300,000 | 1,000,000 | 320,000 | 680,000 | 490,000 | 120,000 | 370,000 | 2,800,000 |
25–34 | 2,430,000 | 1,040,000 | 1,400,000 | 3,840,000 | 1,420,000 | 2,420,000 | 1,410,000 | 380,000 | 1,020,000 | 13,510,000 |
35–44 | 1,830,000 | 680,000 | 1,150,000 | 2,930,000 | 980,000 | 1,950,000 | 1,100,000 | 300,000 | 800,000 | 14,550,000 |
45–54 | 1,800,000 | 640,000 | 1,160,000 | 2,880,000 | 940,000 | 1,940,000 | 1,080,000 | 300,000 | 780,000 | 14,330,000 |
55–64 | 1,320,000 | 450,000 | 870,000 | 2,170,000 | 670,000 | 1,500,000 | 850,000 | 220,000 | 630,000 | 10,720,000 |
65+ | 350,000 | 130,000 | 220,000 | 660,000 | 220,000 | 440,000 | 310,000 | 90,000 | 210,000 | 3,220,000 |
Educational attainment | ||||||||||
Less than high school | 320,000 | 40,000 | 280,000 | 800,000 | 60,000 | 740,000 | 480,000 | 30,000 | 460,000 | 1,980,000 |
High school | 1,940,000 | 450,000 | 1,490,000 | 3,470,000 | 680,000 | 2,780,000 | 1,520,000 | 230,000 | 1,290,000 | 9,240,000 |
Some college | 2,440,000 | 830,000 | 1,610,000 | 4,040,000 | 1,210,000 | 2,830,000 | 1,600,000 | 380,000 | 1,220,000 | 12,080,000 |
College degree | 2,620,000 | 1,280,000 | 1,340,000 | 3,800,000 | 1,790,000 | 2,000,000 | 1,180,000 | 520,000 | 660,000 | 20,810,000 |
Advanced degree | 920,000 | 540,000 | 380,000 | 1,360,000 | 800,000 | 570,000 | 440,000 | 250,000 | 190,000 | 15,030,000 |
Note: Subtotals may not add up to totals due to rounding. Following the methodology used by the U.S. Department of Labor, the estimates include all workers affected by the federal salary threshold increase, and do not account for higher state salary thresholds.
Source: EPI analysis of pooled Current Population Survey Outgoing Rotation Group microdata, 2016–2018, following the methodology used in the U.S. Department of Labor’s 2019 proposed rule, “Defining and Delimiting the Exemptions for Executive, Administrative, Professional, Outside Sales and Computer Employees,” 29 CFR Part 541 (published March 22, 2019).
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- More than eight million workers will be left behind by the Trump overtime proposal: Workers would receive $1.2 billion less than under the 2016 rule
- More than eight million workers will be left behind by the Trump overtime proposal: That number will grow to 11.5 million in the first 10 years of implementation
- Overtime proposal
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