The number of workers left behind by the Trump overtime proposal will grow to 11.5 million in the first 10 years of implementation: Projected number of salaried workers left behind by the Trump overtime proposal in the first 10 years of implementation
| Workers left behind by 2019 proposal | Under the 2016 rule | Under the 2019 proposal | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Projected standard threshold under the 2016 rule | Standard threshold under the 2019 proposal | Total workers left behind | Workers left behind who would have gotten new protections | Workers left behind who would have gotten strengthened protections | Total affected workers | Workers with new protections | Workers with strengthened protections | Total affected workers | Workers with new protections | Workers with strengthened protections | Total salaried workers | |
| 2020 | $51,053 | $35,308 | 8,240,000 | 3,140,000 | 5,100,000 | 13,470,000 | 4,550,000 | 8,920,000 | 5,230,000 | 1,410,000 | 3,820,000 | 59,140,000 |
| 2021 | $51,053 | $35,308 | 7,940,000 | 2,950,000 | 4,990,000 | 13,010,000 | 4,330,000 | 8,690,000 | 5,070,000 | 1,380,000 | 3,690,000 | 59,180,000 |
| 2022 | $51,053 | $35,308 | 7,540,000 | 2,720,000 | 4,830,000 | 12,610,000 | 4,070,000 | 8,540,000 | 5,070,000 | 1,350,000 | 3,710,000 | 59,220,000 |
| 2023 | $55,055 | $35,308 | 9,250,000 | 3,420,000 | 5,830,000 | 14,050,000 | 4,740,000 | 9,310,000 | 4,790,000 | 1,310,000 | 3,480,000 | 59,370,000 |
| 2024 | $55,055 | $35,308 | 9,350,000 | 3,320,000 | 6,020,000 | 13,990,000 | 4,570,000 | 9,420,000 | 4,650,000 | 1,250,000 | 3,400,000 | 59,630,000 |
| 2025 | $55,055 | $35,308 | 9,330,000 | 3,220,000 | 6,110,000 | 13,440,000 | 4,320,000 | 9,120,000 | 4,110,000 | 1,100,000 | 3,010,000 | 59,890,000 |
| 2026 | $59,098 | $35,308 | 10,900,000 | 3,890,000 | 7,000,000 | 15,170,000 | 5,050,000 | 10,110,000 | 4,270,000 | 1,160,000 | 3,110,000 | 60,080,000 |
| 2027 | $59,098 | $35,308 | 10,560,000 | 3,690,000 | 6,880,000 | 14,710,000 | 4,820,000 | 9,890,000 | 4,140,000 | 1,130,000 | 3,010,000 | 60,300,000 |
| 2028 | $59,098 | $35,308 | 10,070,000 | 3,430,000 | 6,640,000 | 14,280,000 | 4,600,000 | 9,680,000 | 4,210,000 | 1,170,000 | 3,040,000 | 60,560,000 |
| 2029 | $63,346 | $35,308 | 11,520,000 | 4,080,000 | 7,440,000 | 15,740,000 | 5,280,000 | 10,460,000 | 4,220,000 | 1,200,000 | 3,020,000 | 60,860,000 |
Note: Subtotals may not add up to totals due to rounding. Following the methodology used by the U.S. Department of Labor, the estimates include all workers affected by the federal salary threshold increase, and do not account for higher state salary thresholds.
Source: EPI analysis of pooled Current Population Survey Outgoing Rotation Group microdata, 2016–2018, following the methodology used in the U.S. Department of Labor’s 2019 proposed rule, “Defining and Delimiting the Exemptions for Executive, Administrative, Professional, Outside Sales and Computer Employees,” 29 CFR Part 541 (published March 22, 2019).
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