Table 3

How export promotion would change U.S. goods trade with the world, by industry, 2019–2024

U.S. imports U.S. exports Trade balance
Industries Change ($billions) Share of total change Change
($billions)
Share of total change Change ($billions) Share of total change
Total $207.4 100.0% $1,061.7 100.0% $854.3 100.0%
Agriculture, forestry, fisheries $6.1 3.0% $68.0 6.4% $61.9 7.2%
Mining -$42.0 -20.3% $127.5 12.0% $169.5 19.8%
Oil and gas -$41.7 -20.1% $66.0 6.2% $107.8 12.6%
Minerals and ores -$0.3 -0.1% $61.5 5.8% $61.8 7.2%
Utilities $0 0.0% $0 0.0% $0 0.0%
Construction $0 0.0% $0 0.0% $0 0.0%
Manufacturing $241.0 116.3% $846.8 79.8% $605.8 70.9%
Nondurable goods $78.3 37.7% $308.0 29.0% $229.7 26.9%
Food and kindred products $9.5 4.6% $46.2 4.3% $36.6 4.3%
Beverage and tobacco products $5.1 2.5% $7.9 0.7% $2.8 0.3%
Textile mills and textile product mills $2.8 1.4% $2.0 0.2% -$0.8 -0.1%
Apparel, leather and allied product Manufacturing $1.4 0.7% -$0.9 -0.1% -$2.3 -0.3%
Paper $0.4 0.2% $8.0 0.8% $7.6 0.9%
Printed matter and related products $0.4 0.2% $1.1 0.1% $0.7 0.1%
Petroleum and coal products -$9.2 -4.4% $64.7 6.1% $73.9 8.7%
Chemicals $59.6 28.7% $168.9 15.9% $109.4 12.8%
Plastics and rubber products $8.3 4.0% $10.2 1.0% $1.9 0.2%
Durable goods $162.8 78.5% $538.8 50.7% $376.0 44.0%
Wood products $1.3 0.6% $1.4 0.1% $0.1 0.0%
Nonmetallic mineral products $2.4 1.1% $3.7 0.4% $1.4 0.2%
Primary metal -$5.1 -2.5% $114.1 10.7% $119.2 14.0%
Fabricated metal products $8.0 3.8% $24.9 2.3% $17.0 2.0%
Machinery, except electrical $21.5 10.4% $84.9 8.0% $63.3 7.4%
Computer and electronic parts $19.5 9.4% $36.6 3.4% $17.1 2.0%
Computer and peripheral equipment $8.0 3.9% -$0.8 -0.1% -$8.8 -1.0%
Communications, audio and video equipment -$0.3 -0.2% $21.8 2.1% $22.1 2.6%
Navigational, measuring, electromedical, and control instruments $2.9 1.4% $19.4 1.8% $16.5 1.9%
Semiconductor and other electronic components & magnetic and optical media production $9.0 4.3% -$3.8 -0.4% -$12.8 -1.5%
Electrical equipment, appliances, and component $20.2 9.7% $28.9 2.7% $8.7 1.0%
Transportation equipment $42.1 20.3% $146.2 13.8% $104.1 12.2%
Motor vehicles and parts $32.5 15.7% $76.3 7.2% $43.8 5.1%
Aerospace products and parts $8.0 3.8% $59.8 5.6% $51.9 6.1%
Railroad, ship, and other transportation equipment $1.6 0.8% $10.1 0.9% $8.5 1.0%
Furniture and fixtures $7.5 3.6% $3.8 0.4% -$3.7 -0.4%
Miscellaneous manufactured commodities $45.5 21.9% $94.3 8.9% $48.9 5.7%
Scrap and secondhand goods $2.2 1.1% $19.4 1.8% $17.2 2.0%

 

Source: Authors’ analysis of trade data (USITC 2020) and authors' projections for trade in 2024 given currency realignment and an aggressive program of industrial policies. For a more detailed explanation of policies, data sources, and computations, see report, especially “Trade projections” section, discussion of Table 2, and the methodology appendix.

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