Nominal Wage Series

Quarterly wage series, 2000Q1–2014Q3

Average hourly earnings of production/nonsupervisory workers Average hourly earnings of all private employees CPS-ORG median*  ECI, wages and salaries, all private workers ECEC, wages and salaries, all private workers 
Jan-2000 3.7%
Apr-2000 3.8%
Jul-2000 3.8%
Oct-2000 4.2%
Jan-2001 4.1%
Apr-2001 4.0%
Jul-2001 3.7%
Oct-2001 3.3%
Jan-2002 3.0% 3.5%
Apr-2002 2.7% 3.6%
Jul-2002 2.9% 3.1%
Oct-2002 3.1% 2.6%
Jan-2003 3.2% 2.9%
Apr-2003 2.9% 2.4%
Jul-2003 2.6% 2.9%
Oct-2003 2.0% 3.1%
Jan-2004 1.7% 2.6%
Apr-2004 2.0% 2.8%
Jul-2004 2.1% 2.6%
Oct-2004 2.5% 2.6%
Jan-2005 2.6% 2.7% 3.1%
Apr-2005 2.6% 2.5% 3.0%
Jul-2005 2.7% 2.3% 1.6%
Oct-2005 3.0% 2.5% 2.9%
Jan-2006 3.4% 2.5% 3.4%
Apr-2006 3.9% 2.8% 3.3%
Jul-2006 4.1% 3.1% 4.7%
Oct-2006 4.1% 3.2% 3.4%
Jan-2007 4.1% 3.5% 3.4%
Apr-2007 4.0% 3.6% 3.4% 3.1%
Jul-2007 4.1% 3.4% 3.3% 2.1%
Oct-2007 3.8% 3.2% 3.3% 3.1%
Jan-2008 3.8% 3.1% 3.2% 3.1%
Apr-2008 3.7% 2.8% 3.1% 3.3%
Jul-2008 3.7% 3.2% 2.9% 3.9%
Oct-2008 3.9% 3.5% 2.6% 3.7%
Jan-2009 3.6% 3.4% 1.8% 2.0% 2.9%
Apr-2009 3.1% 2.9% 1.3% 1.6% 2.5%
Jul-2009 2.7% 2.4% 1.2% 1.4% 1.6%
Oct-2009 2.6% 2.1% 1.4% 1.4% 0.2%
Jan-2010 2.5% 1.8% 1.0% 1.5% 0.7%
Apr-2010 2.5% 1.8% 0.8% 1.6% 0.7%
Jul-2010 2.4% 1.8% 0.4% 1.6% 1.2%
Oct-2010 2.2% 1.8% -0.1% 1.7% 1.2%
Jan-2011 2.2% 1.9% -0.2% 1.6% 1.4%
Apr-2011 2.1% 2.0% 0.2% 1.6% 1.4%
Jul-2011 2.1% 2.0% 0.7% 1.7% 1.2%
Oct-2011 1.8% 2.0% 0.6% 1.6% 2.5%
Jan-2012 1.5% 1.9% 0.6% 1.9% 2.0%
Apr-2012 1.6% 1.9% 1.6% 1.8% 2.3%
Jul-2012 1.4% 1.9% 1.5% 1.8% 2.3%
Oct-2012 1.4% 1.8% 1.8% 1.8% 0.9%
Jan-2013 1.9% 2.0% 2.8% 1.7% 1.1%
Apr-2013 1.9% 2.1% 2.3% 1.9% 1.0%
Jul-2013 2.1% 2.1% 2.3% 1.9% 0.9%
Oct-2013 2.3% 2.1% 2.0% 2.0% 2.2%
Jan-2014 2.3% 2.1% 1.5% 1.7% 2.4%
Apr-2014 2.3% 2.0% 0.4% 1.9% 2.7%
Jul-2014 2.3% 2.0% 0.7% 2.2%
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Note: Wage target consistent with Fed 2% inflation target and 1.5% productivity growth assumption. CPS-ORG median is a six-month moving average.

Source: Author's analysis of Bureau of Labor Statistics' Current Establishment Survey, Current Population Survey (CPS), Total Economy Productivity (unpublished), Employment Cost Index (ECI), and Employment Costs for Employee Compensation (ECEC).

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