Appendix Table 7

Demographic characteristics of black workers affected by increasing the federal minimum wage by $15 by 2024

Group Total estimated workforce (thousands) Directly affected (thousands) Share directly affected Indirectly affected (thousands) Share indirectly affected Total affected (thousands) Share of group who are affected Group’s share of total affected
All black workers 17,564 5,079 28.9% 1,621 9.2% 6,700 38.1% 100.0%
Gender
Women 9,658 3,043 31.5% 918 9.5% 3,961 41.0% 59.1%
Men 7,907 2,036 25.7% 703 8.9% 2,739 34.6% 40.9%
Age
Age 19 or younger 559 371 66.3% 29 5.2% 399 71.5% 6.0%
Age 20 or older 17,006 4,709 27.7% 1,592 9.4% 6,300 37.0% 94.0%
Ages 16–24 2,497 1,593 63.8% 199 7.9% 1,791 71.7% 26.7%
Ages 25–39 6,145 1,891 30.8% 660 10.7% 2,552 41.5% 38.1%
Ages 40–54 5,737 945 16.5% 490 8.5% 1,435 25.0% 21.4%
Age 55 or older 3,185 650 20.4% 272 8.5% 922 29.0% 13.8%
Family status
Married parent 3,009 447 14.8% 230 7.6% 676 22.5% 10.1%
Single parent 3,031 1,117 36.8% 335 11.1% 1,452 47.9% 21.7%
Married, no children 3,012 491 16.3% 238 7.9% 729 24.2% 10.9%
Unmarried, no children 8,513 3,024 35.5% 818 9.6% 3,842 45.1% 57.3%
Educational attainment
Less than high school 1,457 787 54.1% 137 9.4% 924 63.4% 13.8%
High school 5,115 2,048 40.0% 610 11.9% 2,657 52.0% 39.7%
Some college, no degree 5,155 1,726 33.5% 568 11.0% 2,293 44.5% 34.2%
Associate degree 1,625 326 20.1% 159 9.8% 485 29.8% 7.2%
Bachelor’s degree or higher 4,212 192 4.6% 148 3.5% 340 8.1% 5.1%
Family income
Less than $25,000 3,527 2,237 63.4% 370 10.5% 2,608 73.9% 38.9%
$25,000–$49,999 4,697 1,399 29.8% 669 14.2% 2,068 44.0% 30.9%
$50,000–$74,999 3,401 688 20.2% 293 8.6% 982 28.9% 14.7%
$75,000–$99,999 2,228 347 15.6% 141 6.3% 488 21.9% 7.3%
$100,000–$149,999 2,300 285 12.4% 102 4.4% 388 16.9% 5.8%
$150,000 or more 1,411 122 8.7% 45 3.2% 167 11.8% 2.5%
Family income-to-poverty ratio
At or below the poverty line 1,896 1,310 69.1% 144 7.6% 1,454 76.7% 21.7%
101–200% of poverty line 3,541 1,773 50.1% 524 14.8% 2,297 64.9% 34.3%
201–400% of poverty line 6,160 1,378 22.4% 710 11.5% 2,088 33.9% 31.2%
401% or above 5,850 545 9.3% 237 4.1% 782 13.4% 11.7%
Poverty status not available 117 73 62.4% 6 5.2% 79 67.5% 1.2%
Work hours
Part time (<20 hours) 900 403 44.8% 69 7.7% 472 52.4% 7.0%
Mid time (20– 34 hours) 2,824 1,562 55.3% 256 9.1% 1,819 64.4% 27.1%
Full time (35+ hours) 13,841 3,114 22.5% 1,295 9.4% 4,409 31.9% 65.8%
Industry
Agriculture, forestry, fishing, hunting 94 31 32.7% 8 8.0% 39 40.8% 0.6%
Construction 443 77 17.4% 38 8.6% 116 26.1% 1.7%
Manufacturing 1,589 398 25.0% 177 11.1% 575 36.2% 8.6%
Wholesale trade 312 87 27.8% 31 10.0% 118 37.8% 1.8%
Retail trade 2,081 1,003 48.2% 206 9.9% 1,209 58.1% 18.0%
Transportation, warehousing, utilities 1,324 235 17.7% 121 9.2% 356 26.9% 5.3%
Information 350 50 14.2% 22 6.3% 72 20.5% 1.1%
Finance, insurance, real estate 1,007 119 11.8% 68 6.7% 186 18.5% 2.8%
Professional, scientific, management, technical services 589 42 7.2% 24 4.0% 66 11.2% 1.0%
Administrative, support, and waste management 977 376 38.5% 111 11.3% 486 49.8% 7.3%
Education 1,588 310 19.5% 111 7.0% 421 26.5% 6.3%
Health care 3,613 1,049 29.0% 343 9.5% 1,392 38.5% 20.8%
Arts, entertainment, recreational services 291 121 41.5% 36 12.5% 157 53.9% 2.3%
Accommodation 266 142 53.3% 33 12.5% 175 65.8% 2.6%
Restaurants and food service 1,225 756 61.7% 153 12.5% 908 74.2% 13.6%
Other services 578 190 32.9% 78 13.5% 269 46.4% 4.0%
Public administration 1,238 94 7.6% 60 4.9% 155 12.5% 2.3%
Sector
For-profit 12,677 4,257 33.6% 1,292 10.2% 5,549 43.8% 82.8%
Government 3,366 484 14.4% 210 6.2% 693 20.6% 10.3%
Nonprofit 1,521 339 22.3% 119 7.8% 458 30.1% 6.8%

Notes: Values reflect the population likely to be affected by the proposed change in the federal minimum wage. Wage changes resulting from scheduled state and local minimum wage laws are accounted for by EPI’s Minimum Wage Simulation Model. Totals may not sum due to rounding. Shares calculated from unrounded values. Directly affected workers will see their wages rise as the new minimum wage rate will exceed their current hourly pay. Indirectly affected workers have a wage rate just above the new minimum wage (between the new minimum wage and 115 percent of the new minimum). They will receive a raise as employer pay scales are adjusted upward to reflect the new minimum wage.

Source: Economic Policy Institute Minimum Wage Simulation Model using data from the Census Bureau, Bureau of Labor Statistics, and Congressional Budget Office. See Cooper, Mokhiber, and Zipperer 2019. Dollar values adjusted by projections for CPI-U in CBO 2018.

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