Projected nondefense discretionary budget authority as a share of GDP, excluding supplemental spending, FY2016–FY2027
| Year | Historical average* (incl. supplemental) | President’s budget | Current law | CPC budget | Historical average* (excl. supplemental) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | 3.53% | 2.82% | 2.82% | 2.82% | 3.47% |
| 2017 | 3.53% | 2.63% | 2.71% | 2.71% | 3.47% |
| 2018 | 3.53% | 2.32% | 2.59% | 3.11% | 3.47% |
| 2019 | 3.53% | 2.56% | 3.25% | 3.47% | |
| 2020 | 3.53% | 2.54% | 3.34% | 3.47% | |
| 2021 | 3.53% | 2.50% | 3.45% | 3.47% | |
| 2022 | 3.53% | 2.47% | 3.53% | 3.47% | |
| 2023 | 3.53% | 2.43% | 3.53% | 3.47% | |
| 2024 | 3.53% | 2.40% | 3.53% | 3.47% | |
| 2025 | 3.53% | 2.36% | 3.53% | 3.47% | |
| 2026 | 3.53% | 2.33% | 3.53% | 3.47% | |
| 2027 | 3.53% | 2.30% | 3.53% | 3.47% |
* Historical average reflects the average nondefense discretionary budget authority as a share of GDP between FY1980 and FY2007 (the last year before the onset of the Great Recession).
Note: Supplemental spending includes war, disaster, emergency, and program integrity. For the president's budget, this figure uses CBO's projections of GDP. Data for 2016 represent actual spending. Data for 2017 exclude Changes In Mandatory Programs (CHIMPs).
Source: EPI Policy Center analysis of scores from the Congressional Budget Office, Citizens for Tax Justice, Joint Committee on Taxation, Office of Management and Budget, and Tax Policy Center
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