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	<title>Quick Takes | Economic Policy Institute</title>
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	<description>Research and Ideas for Shared Prosperity</description>
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	<title>Quick Takes | Economic Policy Institute</title>
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		<title>News from EPI › The next president is inheriting a strong economy, but there&#8217;s more work to be done</title>
		<link>https://www.epi.org/press/the-next-president-is-inheriting-a-strong-economy-but-theres-more-work-to-be-done/</link>
		<pubDate>Fri, 06 Jan 2017 13:58:59 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Elise Gould]]></dc:creator>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.epi.org/?post_type=press&#038;p=119771</guid>
					<description><![CDATA[This morning’s jobs report shows that the economy added 156,000 jobs in December 2016. The December report lets us look at 2016 as a whole.]]></description>
										<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>This morning’s jobs report shows that the economy added 156,000 jobs in December 2016. The December report lets us look at 2016 as a whole. Including December, payroll employment averaged 180,000 a month in 2016, which is lower than the average in 2015 (229,000) but still solid. At this pace of growth, we can expect to continue to see improvements in the labor market over the next couple of years as we approach full employment. That’s good for working people who have been waiting years for decent raises and others who have been trying to get better jobs.</p>
<p>Today’s numbers also give us an opportunity to compare how the economy is treating Americans today versus in December 2007, when the recession began. Unemployment peaked at 10.0 percent during the recession, and at 4.7 percent it is now below where it was before the recession began (5.0 percent). Still, there are many signs that the economy has yet to fully recover. The <em>under</em>employment rate—which adds in workers who are part-time for economic reasons and those marginally attached—still hasn’t reached its pre-recession level. That leaves a lot of workers sitting on the sidelines and underutilized. Two other important indicators—prime-age employment-to-population ratio and nominal wage growth—are still far lower than would be expected in a stronger economy. Year over year nominal hourly wages grew at 2.9 percent in December, the fastest rate of growth so far in the recovery. While the pace of wage growth has picked up this year as the economy strengthens, it is still below levels consistent with <a href="http://www.epi.org/nominal-wage-tracker/">the Fed’s target inflation rate and trend productivity growth</a>.</p>
<p>All told, it’s clear that the next president is inheriting an economy much stronger than it was at the start of the previous administration—but there is still more work to do. Not only would cuts to social safety net programs hurt the people who rely on them to make ends meet to put a roof over their heads, to put food on the table, and get the health care they need, we’ve also seen <a href="http://www.epi.org/publication/why-is-recovery-taking-so-long-and-who-is-to-blame/">austerity at all levels of government put a drag on the economy</a>. Working families need good jobs, decent wages, and reliable benefits—which means we need policymakers to make it a priority to return the country to full employment. To improve living standards to the vast majority Americans, policymakers need to strengthen the safety net, bolster labor standards, forgo austerity, and ensure that interest rates stay low so that the growing economy reaches all.</p>
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		<title>News from EPI › June jobs report puts us back on the road to full employment</title>
		<link>https://www.epi.org/press/june-jobs-report-puts-us-back-on-the-road-to-full-employment/</link>
		<pubDate>Fri, 08 Jul 2016 12:50:24 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Elise Gould]]></dc:creator>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.epi.org/?post_type=press&#038;p=110415</guid>
					<description><![CDATA[In June, payroll employment grew by 287,000 jobs—an welcome boost after the weakness of the last two months. The June jobs report is the kind we want to see more of.]]></description>
										<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>In June, payroll employment grew by 287,000 jobs—an welcome boost after the weakness of the last two months. The June jobs report is the kind we want to see more of. 287,000 jobs a month moves the recovery forward, not only pulling in the growing working age population, but also chipping away at remaining slack</p>
<p>That said, we are still far from full employment. At 77.8 percent, the prime-age employment-to-population ratio is still far below its last peak, and indeed is still below the lowest trough of the last two full business cycles. And, at 2.6 percent, year-over-year nominal wage growth remains below levels consistent with Fed targets for inflation and trend productivity growth. The unemployment rate rose to 4.9 percent, which is consistent with other measures of labor market slack.</p>
<p>Overall, today’s report is a good sign but it is clear that there’s still a fair amount of weakness to account for.</p>
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		<title>News from EPI › Slow growth in the first quarter of 2016 supports the Fed&#8217;s decision to keep interest rates low</title>
		<link>https://www.epi.org/press/slow-growth-in-the-first-quarter-of-2016-supports-the-feds-decision-to-keep-interest-rates-low/</link>
		<pubDate>Thu, 28 Apr 2016 12:50:14 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Josh Bivens]]></dc:creator>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.epi.org/?post_type=press&#038;p=106018</guid>
					<description><![CDATA[The Bureau of Economic Analysis reported this morning that gross domestic product (GDP), the broadest measure of economic activity, grew at just a 0.5 percent annualized rate in the first quarter of 2016.]]></description>
										<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>The Bureau of Economic Analysis reported this morning that gross domestic product (GDP), the broadest measure of economic activity, grew at just a 0.5 percent annualized rate in the first quarter of 2016. This follows growth in the last quarter of 2015 of just 1.4 percent, marking six months of economic growth far slower than the long-run trend. If such slow growth continues into 2016, there will be significant upward pressure on unemployment and recent gains in labor force participation will likely fade away. Today’s anemic growth numbers fully justify the Federal Reserve’s decision this week to not further increase short-term interest rates.</p>
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		<title>News from EPI › Signs of workers getting back in the game</title>
		<link>https://www.epi.org/press/signs-of-workers-getting-back-in-the-game/</link>
		<pubDate>Fri, 01 Apr 2016 12:41:20 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Elise Gould]]></dc:creator>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.epi.org/?post_type=press&#038;p=104169</guid>
					<description><![CDATA[This morning’s employment situation report showed that the economy added 215,000 jobs in March, which is in line with expectations and in line with the trends of the past few months.]]></description>
										<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>This morning’s employment situation report showed that the economy added 215,000 jobs in March, which is in line with expectations and in line with the trends of the past few months. The unemployment rate ticked up slightly, while the labor force participation rate continued to show signs of improvement—an indication that workers are feeling optimistic and are beginning to come off the bench and take some practice swings.</p>
<p>Wage growth, meanwhile, was 2.3 percent year-over-year. Wage growth continues to be below target levels, a sign that there continues to be substantial slack in the labor market. Federal Reserve Chair Janet Yellen indicated earlier this week that the Fed would be “patient” when it comes to raising rates. Today’s data confirm that said patience is warranted.</p>
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		<title>News from EPI › Cancelling Sequester Good for Growth</title>
		<link>https://www.epi.org/press/cancelling-sequester-good-for-growth/</link>
		<pubDate>Fri, 30 Jan 2015 15:12:04 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Josh Bivens]]></dc:creator>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.epi.org/?post_type=press&#038;p=78435</guid>
					<description><![CDATA[Today’s data release from the Bureau of Economic Analysis reports that GDP grew at a 2.6 percent annualized rate in the last three months of 2014.]]></description>
										<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Today’s data release from the Bureau of Economic Analysis reports that GDP grew at a 2.6 percent annualized rate in the last three months of 2014. For the year, quarterly growth rates averaged 2.5 percent, but the last three quarters of the year saw growth run at just over 4 percent.  A key reason for the good economic performance in the last three quarters of 2014 was that government spending cuts stopped dragging on growth as much as they did in 2013 – an outcome of the fiscal deal that cancelled most of the “sequester” cuts for 2014. We should heed this lesson and do away with the damaging fiscal drag from sequester going forward as well.</p>
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		<title>Economic Growth not Reflected in Workers’ Paychecks</title>
		<link>https://www.epi.org/publication/economic-growth-not-reflected-in-workers-paychecks/</link>
		<pubDate>Fri, 07 Nov 2014 13:49:46 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Elise Gould]]></dc:creator>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.epi.org/?post_type=publication&#038;p=74767</guid>
					<description><![CDATA[Today’s jobs report showed the economy added 214,000 jobs in October, and the unemployment rate edged down slightly to 5.8 percent.]]></description>
										<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Today’s jobs report showed the economy added 214,000 jobs in October, and the unemployment rate edged down slightly to 5.8 percent. While this is a sign that the economy is slowly moving in the right direction, if you look below the headline numbers, it’s obvious that today’s labor market is still far from normal. Private sector nominal average hourly earnings grew 2.0 percent annually in October—consistent with what we’ve seen this year so far.</p>
<p>This lackluster wage growth is a clear indicator that there’s still considerable slack in the labor market. With so many Americans looking for work—and millions more who would be looking for work if job opportunities were stronger—employers simply don’t have to offer wage increases to get and keep the workers they need. Until hiring rates and net job creation pick up and wage growth reaches and stays above the 3.5 percent rate consistent with the Federal Reserve Board’s inflation target of 2 percent and 1.5 percent productivity growth assumption, it’s clear that Fed policymakers should abandon notions of slowing economic growth. The economy may be growing, but not enough for workers to feel the effects in their paychecks.</p>
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		<title>Solid Jobs Growth in September, but Wages Need to Pick Up</title>
		<link>https://www.epi.org/publication/solid-jobs-growth-september-wages-pick/</link>
		<pubDate>Fri, 03 Oct 2014 12:50:32 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Elise Gould]]></dc:creator>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.epi.org/?post_type=publication&#038;p=73381</guid>
					<description><![CDATA[Total payroll employment increased by 248,000 in September, according to the BLS Employment Situation report released this morning. This is a welcome increase after last month&#8217;s disappointing In addition, the August and July numbers were revised upwards by 38,000 and 31,000, respectively.]]></description>
										<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Total payroll employment increased by 248,000 in September, according to the BLS Employment Situation report released this morning. This is a welcome increase after last month&#8217;s disappointing numbers. In addition, the August and July numbers were revised upwards by 38,000 and 31,000, respectively. It appears that last month’s reported numbers were both undercounted and simply a blip in the trend, as job growth has picked up again.</p>
<p>One notable downside is that wages grew not at all in the last month. While one shouldn&#8217;t read too much into one month, wage growth has been hovering around a sluggish 2 percent over the last year. This is a clear indication that the Federal Reserve should hold off on any efforts to slow the economy down.</p>
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		<title>Job Growth Slows in August; Wage Growth Far From Inflationary</title>
		<link>https://www.epi.org/publication/job-growth-slows-august-wage-growth-inflationary/</link>
		<pubDate>Fri, 05 Sep 2014 13:07:18 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Elise Gould]]></dc:creator>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.epi.org/?post_type=publication&#038;p=71957</guid>
					<description><![CDATA[Today’s jobs report showed the economy added 142,000 jobs in August, far below expectations. Prior to this, monthly job growth has averaged 226,000 this year.]]></description>
										<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Today’s jobs report showed the economy added 142,000 jobs in August, far below expectations. Prior to this, monthly job growth has averaged 226,000 this year. <b>We haven’t seen job growth this slow since December of last year. At the same time, wage growth is far below the 3.5 percent rate consistent with the Federal Reserve Board’s inflation target of 2 percent. It’s clear that Fed policymakers should abandon notions of slowing the economy.</b></p>
<p>While it’s yet to be seen whether this slower job growth is an anomaly or a new trend, these numbers should give us pause. Adding in this month’s disappointing numbers, job growth this year is still above last year’s average at this time. Job growth has averaged 215,000 jobs a month thus far in 2014, compared to 197,000 in the first eight months of 2013. We need to be consistently adding jobs at a much faster rate to return to the labor market conditions before the recession began—arguably a labor market that still had considerable slack.</p>
<p>The slack in the today’s labor market is best indicated by lackluster wage growth. Private sector nominal average hourly earnings grew 2.1 percent annually in August—consistent with what we’ve seen this year so far. <b>Employers just don’t have to offer big wage increases to get and keep the workers they need, when hiring rates and net job creation remain far slower than what’s needed to for a healthy labor market.</b></p>
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		<title>Decent Jobs Growth in July but Hopes Dampened for a Strong Acceleration</title>
		<link>https://www.epi.org/publication/decent-jobs-growth-july-hopes-dampened-strong/</link>
		<pubDate>Fri, 01 Aug 2014 13:06:46 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Heidi Shierholz]]></dc:creator>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.epi.org/?post_type=publication&#038;p=68415</guid>
					<description><![CDATA[This jobs showed decent growth, with 209,000 jobs added in July and the unemployment rate ticking up slightly to 6.2 percent.]]></description>
										<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>This morning’s <a href="http://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm">jobs report</a> showed decent growth, with 209,000 jobs added in July and the unemployment rate ticking up slightly to 6.2 percent. This month, however, the unemployment rate rose for <i>good </i>reasons—because more people were looking for work, not because people lost jobs. Labor force participation ticked up slightly.</p>
<p>July’s 209,000 jobs is solid, but is a decline from the strong second quarter, when 277,000 jobs were added each month on average. At July’s pace, it would take nearly four more years to get back to pre-recession labor market conditions.</p>
<p>In short, today’s jobs report was solid but not stellar—the slowdown in job growth from the second quarter dampens hopes that we’ve really kicked it into a higher gear.</p>
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		<title>Strong Job Growth, but Still a Ways to Go</title>
		<link>https://www.epi.org/publication/strong-job-growth-ways/</link>
		<pubDate>Thu, 03 Jul 2014 12:58:54 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Heidi Shierholz]]></dc:creator>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.epi.org/?post_type=publication&#038;p=66988</guid>
					<description><![CDATA[This morning&#8217;s jobs report—which marks the five-year anniversary of the official end of the Great Recession (and start of the recovery)—showed the labor market added 288,000 jobs and the unemployment rate dropped two-tenths of a percent to 6.1 Importantly, the unemployment rate dropped largely for good reasons, with the labor force participation rate holding steady and the share of the working age population with a job rising by one-tenth of a percent.]]></description>
										<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>This morning&#8217;s jobs report—which marks the five-year anniversary of the official end of the Great Recession (and start of the recovery)—showed the labor market added 288,000 jobs and the unemployment rate dropped two-tenths of a percent to 6.1 percent. Importantly, the unemployment rate dropped largely for <i style="font-size: 1em;">good </i>reasons, with the labor force participation rate holding steady and the share of the working age population with a job rising by one-tenth of a percent. Average  hourly wages grew by 6 cents, bringing wage growth over the last year to 2.0 percent.</p>
<p style="font-size: 13px;">All-in-all, this is a strong report. But it&#8217;s important to keep in mind that we still face a huge hole in the labor market, and even if we saw June’s rate of job growth every month from here on out, we still wouldn’t get back to health in the labor market for another two and a half years.</p>
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