Predicted decline in retail wireless worker weekly earnings from a Sprint–T-Mobile merger, by commuting zone, ranked by earnings change
| Rank (by earnings change) | Commuting zone | Azar et al. (OLS) | Azar et al. (IV) | Benmelech et al. | Rinz |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wenatchee, WA | -$46.03 | -$151.95 | -$24.33 | -$39.49 |
| 2 | Atlanta, GA | -$29.38 | -$96.63 | -$15.13 | -$25.22 |
| 3 | Austin, TX | -$26.11 | -$86.05 | -$12.32 | -$22.40 |
| 4 | Newark, NJ | -$24.01 | -$79.14 | -$11.74 | -$20.61 |
| 5 | Dallas, TX | -$23.64 | -$77.65 | -$13.31 | -$20.29 |
| 6 | Chicago, IL | -$22.77 | -$74.71 | -$11.89 | -$19.54 |
| 7 | Wichita Falls, TX | -$22.14 | -$72.56 | -$11.58 | -$19.01 |
| 8 | St. Louis, MO | -$21.50 | -$70.61 | -$10.64 | -$18.45 |
| 9 | Washington, DC | -$19.73 | -$64.90 | -$9.63 | -$16.93 |
| 10 | Kansas City, KS | -$19.55 | -$64.14 | -$9.76 | -$16.78 |
| 11 | Miami, FL | -$19.33 | -$63.47 | -$11.86 | -$16.59 |
| 12 | Martinsville, VA | -$19.22 | -$63.09 | -$10.35 | -$16.50 |
| 13 | El Centro, CA | -$19.10 | -$62.61 | -$9.93 | -$16.40 |
| 14 | Provo-Orem, UT | -$19.05 | -$62.75 | -$8.86 | -$16.35 |
| 15 | Columbia, SC | -$19.03 | -$62.64 | -$8.90 | -$16.34 |
| 16 | Champaign, IL | -$18.98 | -$62.65 | -$8.41 | -$16.29 |
| 17 | Seattle, WA | -$18.98 | -$62.71 | -$9.05 | -$16.28 |
| 18 | New Orlean, LA | -$18.98 | -$62.26 | -$9.49 | -$16.29 |
| 19 | New York, NY | -$18.91 | -$62.24 | -$10.07 | -$16.23 |
| 20 | Tampa, FL | -$18.73 | -$61.62 | -$10.29 | -$16.07 |
| 21 | Houston, TX | -$18.58 | -$61.03 | -$10.03 | -$15.95 |
| 22 | St. Joseph, MO | -$18.53 | -$60.76 | -$11.05 | -$15.91 |
| 23 | Detroit, MI | -$18.29 | -$60.07 | -$9.83 | -$15.70 |
| 24 | Boise City, ID | -$18.17 | -$59.77 | -$8.54 | -$15.60 |
| 25 | Dallas, TX | -$18.15 | -$59.65 | -$9.97 | -$15.58 |
| 26 | Minneapolis, MN | -$18.15 | -$59.81 | -$8.48 | -$15.58 |
| 27 | Huntsville, TX | -$17.89 | -$58.91 | -$8.98 | -$15.35 |
| 28 | Columbus, OH | -$17.66 | -$58.16 | -$8.21 | -$15.16 |
| 29 | Orlando, FL | -$17.51 | -$57.45 | -$9.26 | -$15.03 |
| 30 | Plainview, TX | -$17.45 | -$57.47 | -$9.17 | -$14.97 |
| 31 | Ottawa, KS | -$17.43 | -$57.10 | -$9.36 | -$14.96 |
| 32 | Grand Rapids, MI | -$17.41 | -$57.36 | -$9.04 | -$14.94 |
| 33 | Jacksonville, FL | -$17.30 | -$56.94 | -$8.65 | -$14.85 |
| 34 | Greenville, NC | -$17.29 | -$56.91 | -$9.18 | -$14.84 |
| 35 | Baltimore, MD | -$17.26 | -$56.86 | -$8.34 | -$14.82 |
| 36 | San Francisco, CA | -$17.16 | -$56.59 | -$8.10 | -$14.73 |
| 37 | San Antonio, TX | -$17.04 | -$56.08 | -$8.66 | -$14.63 |
| 38 | Los Angeles, CA | -$16.96 | -$55.69 | -$9.14 | -$14.56 |
| 39 | Durham, NC | -$16.72 | -$55.16 | -$7.67 | -$14.35 |
| 40 | Fort Lauderdale, FL | -$16.72 | -$54.84 | -$9.01 | -$14.35 |
| 41 | Salt Lake City, UT | -$16.69 | -$55.02 | -$8.05 | -$14.32 |
| 42 | Atlantic City, NJ | -$16.46 | -$54.28 | -$7.85 | -$14.12 |
| 43 | Nashville, TN | -$16.36 | -$53.92 | -$7.38 | -$14.04 |
| 44 | Flint, MI | -$16.21 | -$53.25 | -$8.16 | -$13.92 |
| 45 | San Jose, CA | -$15.82 | -$52.26 | -$7.25 | -$13.57 |
| 46 | Harrisonburg, VA | -$15.78 | -$52.00 | -$9.02 | -$13.54 |
| 47 | Charleston, SC | -$15.72 | -$51.91 | -$7.22 | -$13.49 |
| 48 | Emporia, KS | -$15.65 | -$51.42 | -$8.33 | -$13.43 |
| 49 | Phoenix, AZ | -$15.45 | -$50.97 | -$7.69 | -$13.26 |
| 50 | Ontario, OR | -$15.43 | -$50.70 | -$7.69 | -$13.25 |
| Average | -$19.13 | -$62.93 | -$9.74 | -$16.42 |
* Rankings are based on the Azar et al. (OLS) predicted earnings decline.
Source: Authors’ calculations based on data from Change to Win 2018 and earnings data from the Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages. Data columns show change in labor market concentration and worker earnings using estimated effects of labor market concentration from Azar, Marinescu, and Steinbaum 2017 (“Azar et al.”); Benmelech, Bergman, and Kim 2018 (“Benmelech et al.”); and Rinz 2018. See text for details.