Jobs at risk if EU grants MES to China, by country, listed alphabetically

Low impact* High impact*
Rank Country Jobs at risk Jobs at risk as a share of total country employment Jobs at risk Jobs at risk as a share of total country employment
1 Austria 31,900 0.8% 63,700 1.6%
2 Belgium 30,700 0.7% 61,300 1.4%
3 Bulgaria 38,000 1.3% 76,100 2.7%
4 Cyprus 2,400 0.6% 4,800 1.3%
5 Czech Republic 46,900 1.0% 93,900 2.0%
6 Denmark 18,900 0.7% 37,800 1.5%
7 Estonia 5,200 1.1% 10,500 2.1%
8 Finland 19,400 0.8% 38,900 1.6%
9 France 183,300 0.7% 366,800 1.5%
10 Germany 319,700 0.8% 639,200 1.7%
11 Greece 30,700 0.8% 61,300 1.5%
12 Hungary 40,500 1.1% 80,900 2.2%
13 Ireland 13,700 0.8% 27,500 1.5%
14 Italy 208,100 0.9% 416,200 1.9%
15 Latvia 6,300 0.8% 12,600 1.7%
16 Lithuania 11,100 1.0% 22,100 1.9%
17 Luxembourg 1,000 0.6% 2,000 1.2%
18 Malta 1,200 0.9% 2,400 1.8%
19 Netherlands 52,000 0.7% 104,000 1.4%
20 Poland 145,100 1.0% 290,100 1.9%
21 Portugal 45,700 1.1% 91,400 2.1%
22 Romania 100,100 1.2% 200,100 2.5%
23 Slovakia 24,400 1.1% 48,800 2.1%
24 Slovenia 9,000 1.0% 18,000 2.0%
25 Spain 136,600 0.7% 273,300 1.5%
26 Sweden 30,400 0.7% 60,700 1.4%
27 United Kingdom 193,400 0.7% 386,800 1.4%

* The low-impact scenario assumes granting MES to China would increase manufacturing imports from China by 25 percent over the next three to five years relative to their base level in 2011; the high-impact scenario assumes a 50 percent increase in imports from China.

Source: Authors' analysis of Bivens (2014, Table 5), European Commission (2015a, 2015b, 2015c, 2015d, and 2015h). For a more detailed explanation of data sources and computations, see text and the appendix.

View the underlying data on epi.org.