Jobs at risk in EU by industry if EU grants MES to China
|Low impact*||High impact*|
|Sectors||Jobs at risk||Jobs at risk as a share of industry employment||Jobs at risk||Jobs at risk as a share of industry employment|
|Agriculture, forestry, and fisheries||75,700||0.8%||151,400||1.6%|
|Mining and quarrying||6,600||0.8%||13,000||1.6%|
|Food products, beverages, and tobacco products||41,600||0.9%||83,200||1.7%|
|Textiles, wearing apparel, and leather products||187,000||7.8%||374,000||15.5%|
|Wood and products made of wood and cork, except furniture; articles of straw and plaiting materials||16,000||1.4%||31,900||2.9%|
|Paper and paper products||7,400||1.1%||14,900||2.3%|
|Printing and recording services||10,000||1.1%||19,900||2.2%|
|Coke and refined petroleum products||1,500||0.7%||3,100||1.5%|
|Chemicals and chemical products||19,600||1.4%||39,100||2.9%|
|Basic pharmaceutical products and pharmaceutical preparations||4,200||0.5%||8,500||1.1%|
|Rubber and plastics products||29,000||1.8%||58,000||3.7%|
|Other nonmetallic mineral products||15,400||1.1%||30,800||2.2%|
|Fabricated metal products, except machinery and equipment||58,900||1.6%||117,800||3.2%|
|Computer, electronic, and optical products||143,900||9.2%||287,900||18.3%|
|Machinery and equipment, n.e.c.||44,700||1.5%||89,600||3.1%|
|Motor vehicles, trailers, and semi-trailers**||17,700||0.6%||35,400||1.2%|
|Other transport equipment||10,000||1.1%||20,000||2.2%|
|Furniture; other manufactured goods||92,500||4.1%||185,000||8.2%|
|Repair and installation services of machinery and equipment||8,700||0.7%||17,500||1.5%|
|Construction and construction works||31,600||0.2%||63,300||0.4%|
|Wholesale and retail trade||252,600||0.9%||505,300||1.7%|
|Accommodation and food services, and travel||73,800||0.8%||147,700||1.6%|
|Finance, insurance and real estate||61,900||0.8%||123,700||1.5%|
|Management, legal, accounting, professional, technical, and employment services||87,500||0.8%||174,900||1.6%|
|Public, social, personal, and educational services (including households)||225,000||0.3%||450,000||0.6%|
* The low-impact scenario assumes granting MES to China would increase manufacturing imports from China by 25 percent over the next three to five years relative to their base level in 2011; the high-impact scenario assumes a 50 percent increase in imports from China.
** Includes motor vehicle parts.
*** Subtotals may not add up to totals due to rounding.
Source: Authors' analysis of Bivens (2014, Table 5), European Commission (2015a, 2015b, 2015c, 2015d, and 2015h). For a more detailed explanation of data sources and computations, see text and the appendix.