Jobs at risk in EU by industry if EU grants MES to China
| Low impact* | High impact* | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sectors | Jobs at risk | Jobs at risk as a share of industry employment | Jobs at risk | Jobs at risk as a share of industry employment |
| Agriculture, forestry, and fisheries | 75,700 | 0.8% | 151,400 | 1.6% |
| Mining and quarrying | 6,600 | 0.8% | 13,000 | 1.6% |
| Manufacturing | 779,300 | 2.4% | 1,558,700 | 4.8% |
| Food products, beverages, and tobacco products | 41,600 | 0.9% | 83,200 | 1.7% |
| Textiles, wearing apparel, and leather products | 187,000 | 7.8% | 374,000 | 15.5% |
| Wood and products made of wood and cork, except furniture; articles of straw and plaiting materials | 16,000 | 1.4% | 31,900 | 2.9% |
| Paper and paper products | 7,400 | 1.1% | 14,900 | 2.3% |
| Printing and recording services | 10,000 | 1.1% | 19,900 | 2.2% |
| Coke and refined petroleum products | 1,500 | 0.7% | 3,100 | 1.5% |
| Chemicals and chemical products | 19,600 | 1.4% | 39,100 | 2.9% |
| Basic pharmaceutical products and pharmaceutical preparations | 4,200 | 0.5% | 8,500 | 1.1% |
| Rubber and plastics products | 29,000 | 1.8% | 58,000 | 3.7% |
| Other nonmetallic mineral products | 15,400 | 1.1% | 30,800 | 2.2% |
| Basic metals | 21,800 | 1.7% | 43,400 | 3.4% |
| Fabricated metal products, except machinery and equipment | 58,900 | 1.6% | 117,800 | 3.2% |
| Computer, electronic, and optical products | 143,900 | 9.2% | 287,900 | 18.3% |
| Electrical equipment | 49,400 | 3.5% | 98,700 | 7.1% |
| Machinery and equipment, n.e.c. | 44,700 | 1.5% | 89,600 | 3.1% |
| Motor vehicles, trailers, and semi-trailers** | 17,700 | 0.6% | 35,400 | 1.2% |
| Other transport equipment | 10,000 | 1.1% | 20,000 | 2.2% |
| Furniture; other manufactured goods | 92,500 | 4.1% | 185,000 | 8.2% |
| Repair and installation services of machinery and equipment | 8,700 | 0.7% | 17,500 | 1.5% |
| Utilities | 29,600 | 0.9% | 59,200 | 1.8% |
| Construction and construction works | 31,600 | 0.2% | 63,300 | 0.4% |
| Wholesale and retail trade | 252,600 | 0.9% | 505,300 | 1.7% |
| Transport services | 83,600 | 0.8% | 167,300 | 1.6% |
| Accommodation and food services, and travel | 73,800 | 0.8% | 147,700 | 1.6% |
| Communication services | 38,200 | 0.6% | 76,400 | 1.2% |
| Finance, insurance and real estate | 61,900 | 0.8% | 123,700 | 1.5% |
| Management, legal, accounting, professional, technical, and employment services | 87,500 | 0.8% | 174,900 | 1.6% |
| Public, social, personal, and educational services (including households) | 225,000 | 0.3% | 450,000 | 0.6% |
| Total*** | 1,745,400 | 0.8% | 3,490,900 | 1.6% |
* The low-impact scenario assumes granting MES to China would increase manufacturing imports from China by 25 percent over the next three to five years relative to their base level in 2011; the high-impact scenario assumes a 50 percent increase in imports from China.
** Includes motor vehicle parts.
*** Subtotals may not add up to totals due to rounding.
Source: Authors' analysis of Bivens (2014, Table 5), European Commission (2015a, 2015b, 2015c, 2015d, and 2015h). For a more detailed explanation of data sources and computations, see text and the appendix.