Total jobs at risk if EU grants MES to China
| Low impact* | High impact* | |
|---|---|---|
| Direct | 478,600 | 957,300 |
| Indirect | 537,100 | 1,074,100 |
| Respending | 729,800 | 1,459,700 |
| Total** | 1,745,400 | 3,490,900 |
* The low-impact scenario assumes granting MES to China would increase manufacturing imports from China by 25 percent over the next three to five years relative to their base level in 2011; the high-impact scenario assumes a 50 percent increase in imports from China.
** Subtotals may not add up to total due to rounding.
Source: Authors' analysis of Bivens (2014, Table 5), European Commission (2015a, 2015b, 2015c, 2015d, and 2015h). For a more detailed explanation of data sources and computations, see text and the appendix.