Estimated effects of a federal minimum-wage increase to $12 by July 2020, fully phased-in, by state

State  Estimated wage-earning population  Directly affected  Indirectly affected  Total affected  Share of state workforce Total wage increase for directly and indirectly affected workers  Average total increase in annual income for affected workers
United States 137,367,000  28,365,000  6,676,000  35,041,000 25.5% $79,693,337,000 $2,300
Alabama 1,972,000 492,000 97,000 589,000 29.9% $1,626,600,000 $2,800
Alaska 321,000 26,000 24,000 50,000 15.6% $42,661,000 $800
Arizona 2,710,000 636,000 143,000 779,000 28.7% $1,760,314,000 $2,300
Arkansas 1,157,000 325,000 58,000 383,000 33.1% $999,562,000 $2,600
California 15,808,000 2,716,000  1,075,000 3,791,000 24.0% $4,123,717,000 $1,100
Colorado 2,429,000 394,000 94,000 488,000 20.1% $1,010,738,000 $2,100
Connecticut 1,632,000 271,000 59,000 330,000 20.2% $363,609,000 $1,100
Delaware 403,000 80,000 20,000 100,000 24.8% $211,521,000 $2,100
District of Columbia 340,000 n/a n/a n/a
Florida 8,406,000 1,902,000 353,000 2,255,000 26.8% $5,734,670,000 $2,500
Georgia 4,104,000 1,043,000 168,000 1,210,000 29.5% $3,659,438,000 $3,000
Hawaii 596,000 124,000 21,000 145,000 24.3% $177,188,000 $1,200
Idaho 671,000 177,000 30,000 207,000 30.8% $577,820,000 $2,800
Illinois 5,740,000 1,231,000 223,000 1,454,000 25.3% $3,504,000,000 $2,400
Indiana 2,927,000 733,000 123,000 855,000 29.2% $2,400,665,000 $2,800
Iowa 1,525,000 336,000 77,000 412,000 27.0% $1,050,892,000 $2,500
Kansas 1,344,000 305,000 68,000 373,000 27.8% $999,302,000 $2,700
Kentucky 1,794,000 436,000 99,000 535,000 29.8% $1,528,313,000 $2,900
Louisiana 1,916,000 468,000 93,000 561,000 29.3% $1,650,552,000 $2,900
Maine 591,000 130,000 25,000 155,000 26.2% $367,929,000 $2,400
Maryland 2,733,000 462,000 92,000 554,000 20.3% $659,495,000 $1,200
Massachusetts 3,172,000 68,000 459,000 527,000 16.6% $122,439,000 $200
Michigan 4,210,000 931,000 189,000 1,120,000 26.6% $2,212,337,000 $2,000
Minnesota 2,659,000 440,000 113,000 553,000 20.8% $737,488,000 $1,300
Mississippi 1,075,000 287,000 53,000 340,000 31.6% $1,108,815,000 $3,300
Missouri 2,676,000 605,000 108,000 713,000 26.6% $1,917,625,000 $2,700
Montana 433,000 107,000 24,000 131,000 30.3% $280,153,000 $2,100
Nebraska 917,000 186,000 52,000 238,000 26.0% $357,534,000 $1,500
Nevada 1,228,000 298,000 64,000 362,000 29.5% $983,415,000 $2,700
New Hampshire 655,000 115,000 26,000 141,000 21.5% $327,545,000 $2,300
New Jersey 4,033,000 690,000 137,000 827,000 20.5% $1,744,157,000 $2,100
New Mexico 797,000 198,000 36,000 234,000 29.4% $666,459,000 $2,900
New York 8,422,000 1,547,000 328,000 1,875,000 22.3% $3,563,101,000 $1,900
North Carolina 4,114,000 1,141,000 194,000 1,335,000 32.5% $3,993,754,000 $3,000
North Dakota 368,000 63,000 18,000 81,000 22.0% $196,271,000 $2,400
Ohio 5,188,000 1,095,000 249,000 1,343,000 25.9% $2,980,908,000 $2,200
Oklahoma 1,533,000 339,000 75,000 414,000 27.0% $1,202,714,000 $2,900
Oregon 1,624,000 273,000 83,000 357,000 22.0% $516,006,000 $1,400
Pennsylvania 5,769,000 1,162,000 240,000 1,402,000 24.3% $3,496,215,000 $2,500
Rhode Island 474,000 92,000 16,000 108,000 22.8% $208,215,000 $1,900
South Carolina 1,971,000 506,000 89,000 595,000 30.2% $1,737,731,000 $2,900
South Dakota 380,000 81,000 20,000 102,000 26.8% $163,666,000 $1,600
Tennessee 2,624,000 689,000 122,000 812,000 30.9% $2,389,551,000 $2,900
Texas 11,724,000 2,919,000 526,000 3,445,000 29.4% $10,239,937,000 $3,000
Utah 1,292,000 275,000 69,000 344,000 26.6% $834,767,000 $2,400
Vermont 299,000 43,000 12,000 55,000 18.4% $51,511,000 $900
Virginia 3,833,000 725,000 150,000 875,000 22.8% $2,351,019,000 $2,700
Washington 3,045,000 417,000 136,000 554,000 18.2% $654,366,000 $1,200
West Virginia 719,000 190,000 30,000 220,000 30.6% $436,777,000 $2,000
Wisconsin 2,748,000 548,000 106,000 654,000 23.8% $1,622,497,000 $2,500
Wyoming 267,000 49,000 11,000 60,000 22.5% $147,377,000 $2,400

Note: Total estimated workers is estimated from the CPS respondents who were 16 years old or older, employed, but not self-employed, and for whom either a valid hourly wage is reported or one can be imputed from weekly earnings and average weekly hours.  Consequently, this estimate represents the identifiable wage-earning workforce and tends to understate the size of the full workforce. Directly affected workers will see their wages rise because the new minimum wage rate will exceed their current hourly pay. Indirectly affected workers  have a wage rate just above the new minimum wage (modeled as workers with wages between the new minimum wage and the new minimum wage plus the dollar amount of the increase in the previous year's minimum wage).  They will receive a raise as employer pay scales are adjusted upward to reflect the new minimum wage.

Source: EPI analysis of Raise the Wage Act using Current Population Survey Outgoing Rotation Group microdata, 2014

View the underlying data on epi.org.