Change in marginal probability of having a nonstandard work arrangement, workers ages 25+, 2005 and 2017
2005 | 2017 | |||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Independent contractors | On-call workers | Temp agency workers | Contract company workers | Day laborers | Contingent workers | Independent contractors | On-call workers | Temp agency workers | Contract company workers | Day laborers | Contingent workers | |
By gender | ||||||||||||
Female | -0.040*** | 0.004* | 0.003** | -0.004*** | -0.001 | 0.006** | -0.033*** | 0.001 | 0.001 | -0.004*** | -0.001 | 0.002 |
(0.003) | (0.001) | (0.001) | (0.001) | (0.001) | (0.002) | (0.003) | (0.002) | (0.001) | (0.001) | (0.001) | (0.002) | |
By age (ages 25–54 as reference) | ||||||||||||
55–64 | 0.032*** | -0.001 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | -0.003 | 0.027*** | 0.001 | -0.001 | -0.001 | 0.001 | -0.004 |
(0.005) | (0.002) | (0.002) | (0.001) | (0.001) | (0.003) | (0.004) | (0.002) | (0.001) | (0.001) | (0.002) | (0.002) | |
65+ | 0.102*** | 0.022*** | -0.001 | -0.002 | 0.000 | 0.022*** | 0.094*** | 0.026*** | 0.005 | 0.006** | 0.003 | 0.007 |
(0.010) | (0.005) | (0.003) | (0.002) | (0.002) | (0.007) | (0.007) | (0.005) | (0.002) | (0.002) | (0.004) | (0.004) | |
By education level (HS as reference) | ||||||||||||
LTHS | -0.006 | 0.006 | 0.005* | 0.003 | 0.003* | 0.012** | 0.025*** | -0.007 | -0.002 | -0.002 | 0.002 | 0.016** |
(0.007) | (0.004) | (0.003) | (0.002) | (0.002) | (0.005) | (0.008) | (0.004) | (0.003) | (0.002) | (0.002) | (0.005) | |
Some college | 0.007 | 0.000 | 0.001 | 0.002 | -0.001 | -0.001 | 0.004 | -0.006 | -0.004** | -0.000 | -0.000 | -0.004 |
(0.004) | (0.002) | (0.001) | (0.001) | (0.001) | (0.003) | (0.004) | (0.004) | (0.002) | (0.001) | (0.001) | (0.002) | |
College | 0.009 | 0.001 | 0.000 | 0.001 | -0.002** | 0.007* | 0.006 | -0.009* | -0.005** | 0.001 | 0.000 | 0.003 |
(0.005) | (0.002) | (0.001) | (0.001 | (0.001) | (0.003) | (0.004) | (0.004) | (0.002) | (0.001) | – | (0.003) | |
Advanced degree | 0.010 | -0.004 | -0.006*** | 0.003 | -0.002* | 0.012** | -0.003 | -0.010* | -0.007*** | -0.000 | 0.000 | 0.012*** |
(0.005) | (0.002) | (0.001) | (0.002) | (0.001) | (0.004) | (0.004) | (0.005) | (0.002) | (0.001) | – | (0.003) | |
By race/ethnicity (white as reference) | ||||||||||||
Black | -0.040*** | -0.004 | 0.013*** | 0.002 | 0.001 | 0.016** | -0.026*** | -0.001 | 0.015*** | 0.003 | 0.001 | 0.009* |
(0.005) | (0.003) | (0.003) | (0.002) | (0.001) | (0.005) | (0.005) | (0.003) | (0.003) | (0.002) | (0.001) | (0.004) | |
Hispanic | -0.028*** | 0.000 | 0.003 | -0.003* | 0.003 | 0.008* | -0.031*** | -0.001 | 0.008*** | 0.006* | 0.004* | 0.011** |
(0.006) | (0.003) | (0.002) | (0.001) | (0.002) | (0.004) | (0.005) | (0.003) | (0.002) | (0.002) | (0.002) | (0.004) | |
Asian | -0.019* | -0.009** | 0.004 | -0.001 | 0.000 | 0.000 | -0.043*** | -0.005 | 0.007* | 0.016*** | 0.002 | 0.002 |
(0.009) | (0.003) | (0.003) | (0.002) | – | (0.005) | (0.005) | (0.003) | (0.003) | (0.004) | (0.002) | (0.004) | |
Other | -0.006 | 0.009 | 0.005 | -0.001 | 0.000 | 0.015 | 0.011 | 0.004 | 0.003 | 0.009 | 0.000 | 0.014 |
(0.015) | (0.008) | (0.006) | (0.003) | – | (0.011) | (0.017) | (0.008) | (0.006) | (0.007) | – | (0.011) | |
By immigrant status (U.S.-born as reference) | ||||||||||||
Immigrant | -0.012 | 0.003 | 0.003 | 0.004* | 0.003** | 0.022*** | 0.019*** | 0.005* | 0.002 | -0.004* | 0.001 | 0.012*** |
(0.007) | (0.003) | (0.002) | (0.001) | (0.001) | (0.004) | (0.005) | (0.003) | (0.002) | (0.002) | (0.002) | (0.003) | |
N | 38,891 | 38,891 | 38,891 | 37,259 | 25,991 | 38,891 | 43,056 | 43,056 | 43,056 | 42,168 | 9,047 | 43,056 |
*** p < 0.001, ** p < 0.01, * p < 0.05
Notes: “N” is the number of workers in the sample. Robust standard errors in parentheses. The coefficients are estimated marginal effects from a probit model. All models control for education, race, immigrant status, and state. LTHS is “less than high school” and HS is “high school.”
Source: CEPR analysis of Contingent Worker Supplement to Current Population Survey microdata from the U.S. Census Bureau