Determinants of the service occupation intensity of the high school workforce, 1979–2007
| A= | + B | + C | – D | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Years | Service occupation employment intensity of high school* workforce | High school* intensity of service employment | Service intensity of employment | High school* intensity of overall workforce |
| 1979 | 13.7% | 69.5% | 11.5% | 58.4% |
| 1989 | 16.6 | 67.1 | 12.4 | 50.2 |
| 1999 | 18.3 | 61.7 | 12.5 | 42.4 |
| 2007 | 20.3 | 56.6 | 13.9 | 38.9 |
| Contribution to change, decades** | ||||
| 1979-1989 | 100.0% | -75.1% | 24.8% | 150.3% |
| 1989-1999 | 100.0 | -84.7 | 11.1 | 173.6 |
| 1999-2007 | 100.0 | -82.9 | 101.5 | 81.5 |
| Contribution to change, longer periods** | ||||
| 1979-1999 | 100.0% | -40.8% | 29.8% | 111.0% |
| 1979-2007 | 100.0 | -52.0 | 48.9 | 103.1 |
* Refers to workers with a high school credential or less education.
** Decomposition based on changes of logged values of A = B + C − D, where A, B, C, and D refer to variables with those column heads. These are CPS ORG tabulations using Autor-Dorn occupation coding crosswalk. Service occupations exclude public safety occupations. Employment is hours-weighted. Employment trends are adjusted to remove inconsistencies due to coding changes in 1983 and 2003. Agriculture is excluded.
Source: Authors' analysis of Current Population Survey Outgoing Rotation Group microdata