OMB forecasts for GDP are far higher than CBO’s, even as CBO forecasts significant immigration: Forecasts for real GDP growth from the Trump administration, the CBO, and CBO forecasts if net immigration to the U.S. was halved or reduced to zero, 2026–2035
| Year | Real GDP Growth |
|---|---|
| OMB | 2.89% |
| CBO | 1.83% |
| CBO with net immigration halved | 1.63% |
| CBO with zero net immigration | 1.47% |
Source: Author’s analysis based on data from CBO (2025a, 2025b).