Estimated teacher wage penalty with alternative specifications, 1979–2018
| Level of wage penalty | Percentage point change in penalty | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1979* | 1993* | 1996 | 2002 | 2007 | 2010 | 2017 | 2018 | 1979–2018 | 1996–2018 | 2007–2018 | 2010–2018 | ||
| A. Estimated weekly wage penalty | |||||||||||||
| 1 | Original model | -2.5% | -3.3% | -4.3% | -13.5% | -13.0% | -12.1% | -18.7% | -18.7% | -16.2 | -14.4 | -5.7 | -6.6 |
| 2 | Original & adjust top codes | -3.5% | -4.7% | -5.7% | -14.6% | -14.8% | -14.4% | -22.4% | -22.9% | -19.4 | -17.2 | -8.1 | -8.5 |
| 3 | Original & replace region with state effects | -1.6% | -1.6% | -2.6% | -11.9% | -11.1% | -10.8% | -16.7% | -16.8% | -15.2 | -14.2 | -5.7 | -6.0 |
| 4 | Original but exclude noncollege workers | -6.8% | -5.0% | -6.0% | -13.8% | -13.4% | -12.4% | -19.3% | -19.5% | -12.7 | -13.5 | -6.1 | -7.1 |
| 5 | Original using ORG weights | -3.2% | -3.7% | -4.7% | -13.0% | -12.2% | -11.6% | -17.2% | -17.3% | -14.1 | -12.6 | -5.2 | -5.8 |
| 6 | All changes described in (2)–(5) | -7.3% | -5.3% | -6.3% | -13.0% | -13.0% | -13.5% | -20.7% | -21.4% | -14.1 | -15.1 | -8.4 | -7.9 |
| B. Difference with original (1) | |||||||||||||
| 1 | Original model | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| 2 | Original & adjust top codes | -1.0 | -1.4 | -1.4 | -1.0 | -1.8 | -2.3 | -3.7 | -4.2 | -3.2 | -2.8 | -2.4 | -1.9 |
| 3 | Original & replace region with state effects | 0.9 | 1.7 | 1.7 | 1.6 | 1.9 | 1.3 | 2.0 | 1.9 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.6 |
| 4 | Original but exclude noncollege workers | -4.3 | -1.7 | -1.7 | -0.3 | -0.4 | -0.3 | -0.6 | -0.8 | 3.5 | 0.9 | -0.4 | -0.5 |
| 5 | Original using ORG weights | -0.7 | -0.4 | -0.4 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 1.4 | 2.1 | 1.7 | 0.5 | 0.8 |
| 6 | All changes described in (2)–(5) | -4.8 | -2.0 | -2.0 | 0.6 | -0.1 | -1.4 | -2.0 | -2.7 | 2.1 | -0.8 | -2.7 | -1.3 |
* Benchmarked estimate: 1993 equals 1996 estimate plus change in wage penalty, 1993–1996, estimated with March CPS data; 1979 equals derived 1993 plus changes in wage penalty, 1979–1993, estimated with ORG data.
Source: Authors’ analysis of Current Population Survey Outgoing Rotation Group data