Unemployment rate, actual and adjusted for age/education changes

Unemployment, actual Unemployment, 2000 weights
1995 5.7% 5.7%
1996 5.5% 5.5%
1997 5.0% 5.0%
1998 4.5% 4.5%
1999 4.2% 4.2%
2000 4.0% 4.0%
2001 4.7% 4.8%
2002 5.8% 5.9%
2003 6.0% 6.1%
2004 5.5% 5.7%
2005 5.1% 5.3%
2006 4.6% 4.8%
2007 4.6% 4.9%
2008 5.8% 6.2%
2009 9.3% 9.8%
2010 9.6% 10.3%
2011 8.9% 9.6%
2012 8.1% 8.8%
2013 7.4% 8.1%
2014 6.2% 6.8%
2015 5.3% 5.9%
2016 4.9% 5.4%
2017 4.4% 4.9%
2018 3.9% 4.4%
2019 3.7% 4.2%
2020 8.1% 8.7%

Notes: The adjusted unemployment rate is created by calculating 15 age and education cells (5 education categories and 3 age bins), calculating cell-specific unemployment rates, and holding 2000 cell-shares constant over time. Note that a positive output gap implies that the economy is operating above its long-run potential.

Source: Author’s calculations using data from the EPI extracts from the Current Population Survey (CPS).

View the underlying data on epi.org.