Change in employment from baseline scenario: Job-years, 2024–2032
| Scenario | Assembly | Supply chain | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| 50% clean energy vehicles (1) | 31,404 | 93,456 | 124,860 |
| Baseline + 10% market share (2) | 33,108 | 115,235 | 148,343 |
| 50% clean energy vehicles + 10% market share (3) | 39,268 | 132,062 | 171,330 |
| 50% clean energy vehicles + 10% market share + union wages (4) | 40,203 | 131,774 | 171,977 |
| Baseline w/ policy retreat (5) | -7,247 | -27,971 | -35,218 |
Source: EPI analysis of S&P Global (2024), IMPLAN (2024), and FRED Motor Vehicle Assemblies: Heavy and Medium Truck Assemblies series and FRED Manufacturers’ Value of Shipments: Heavy Duty Truck Manufacturing series data.