Policies that help the U.S. regain leadership in the auto sector will affect job changes associated with growth in the electric vehicle share of the auto market: Change in U.S. auto jobs in 2030 if electric vehicles account for half of the auto market, under various scenarios
|Auto assembly jobs||Auto parts jobs|
|-10% Mkt. shr.||-69,477||-184,953|
|Mkt. shr. + dom. cont.||3,184||149,401|
Notes: “Equivalent domestic content” means U.S. manufacturers’ share of the EV (electric vehicle) powertrain market matches their share of the ICE (internal combustion engine, i.e., gas-powered) powertrain market. BEVs refers to battery electric (all-electric) vehicles. PHEVs refers to plug-in hybrid electric vehicles. A +10 ppt. market share means the domestic share of overall vehicle sales increases by 10 percentage points. A –10 ppt. market share means the domestic share of overall vehicle sales decreases by 10 percentage points.
Source: Authors’ analysis of scenarios described in the text, from results estimated using the IMPLAN (2019) input-output model.