Chicago Fed's flow-consistent unemployment rate tracks the official rate: Monthly unemployment rates
| Date | BLS | Chicago Fed FCR |
|---|---|---|
| 2008-07-01 | 6.4% | 5.8% |
| 2008-08-01 | 6.6% | 6.1% |
| 2008-09-01 | 6.9% | 6.1% |
| 2008-10-01 | 7.4% | 6.5% |
| 2008-11-01 | 7.9% | 6.8% |
| 2008-12-01 | 8.5% | 7.3% |
| 2009-01-01 | 8.8% | 7.8% |
| 2009-02-01 | 9.6% | 8.3% |
| 2009-03-01 | 10.1% | 8.7% |
| 2009-04-01 | 10.3% | 9.0% |
| 2009-05-01 | 10.3% | 9.4% |
| 2009-06-01 | 10.3% | 9.5% |
| 2009-07-01 | 10.4% | 9.5% |
| 2009-08-01 | 10.0% | 9.6% |
| 2009-09-01 | 10.2% | 9.8% |
| 2009-10-01 | 10.3% | 10.0% |
| 2009-11-01 | 10.2% | 9.9% |
| 2009-12-01 | 9.9% | 9.9% |
| 2010-01-01 | 9.6% | 9.8% |
| 2010-02-01 | 9.5% | 9.8% |
| 2010-03-01 | 9.4% | 9.9% |
| 2010-04-01 | 9.2% | 9.9% |
| 2010-05-01 | 9.1% | 9.6% |
| 2010-06-01 | 9.0% | 9.4% |
| 2010-07-01 | 9.2% | 9.4% |
| 2010-08-01 | 9.4% | 9.5% |
| 2010-09-01 | 9.3% | 9.5% |
| 2010-10-01 | 9.3% | 9.4% |
| 2010-11-01 | 9.2% | 9.8% |
| 2010-12-01 | 9.0% | 9.3% |
| 2011-01-01 | 9.0% | 9.1% |
| 2011-02-01 | 8.7% | 9.0% |
| 2011-03-01 | 8.5% | 9.0% |
| 2011-04-01 | 8.3% | 9.1% |
| 2011-05-01 | 8.5% | 9.0% |
| 2011-06-01 | 8.6% | 9.1% |
| 2011-07-01 | 8.7% | 9.0% |
| 2011-08-01 | 8.8% | 9.0% |
| 2011-09-01 | 8.8% | 9.0% |
| 2011-10-01 | 8.7% | 8.8% |
| 2011-11-01 | 8.3% | 8.6% |
| 2011-12-01 | 8.1% | 8.5% |
| 2012-01-01 | 8.1% | 8.3% |
| 2012-02-01 | 7.7% | 8.3% |
| 2012-03-01 | 7.7% | 8.2% |
| 2012-04-01 | 7.6% | 8.2% |
| 2012-05-01 | 7.8% | 8.2% |
| 2012-06-01 | 7.8% | 8.2% |
| 2012-07-01 | 7.8% | 8.2% |
| 2012-08-01 | 7.8% | 8.1% |
| 2012-09-01 | 7.8% | 7.8% |
| 2012-10-01 | 7.5% | 7.8% |
| 2012-11-01 | 7.6% | 7.7% |
| 2012-12-01 | 7.2% | 7.9% |
| 2013-01-01 | 7.2% | 8.0% |
| 2013-02-01 | 7.2% | 7.7% |
| 2013-03-01 | 7.0% | 7.5% |
| 2013-04-01 | 7.2% | 7.6% |
| 2013-05-01 | 7.0% | 7.5% |
| 2013-06-01 | 7.0% | 7.5% |
| 2013-07-01 | 7.0% | 7.3% |
| 2013-08-01 | 7.0% | 7.2% |
| 2013-09-01 | 6.8% | 7.2% |
| 2013-10-01 | 7.1% | 7.2% |
| 2013-11-01 | 6.8% | 6.9% |
| 2013-12-01 | 6.7% | 6.7% |
| 2014-01-01 | 6.6% | 6.6% |
| 2014-02-01 | 6.5% | 6.7% |
| 2014-03-01 | 6.4% | 6.7% |
| 2014-04-01 | 6.3% | 6.2% |
| 2014-05-01 | 6.3% | 6.3% |
| 2014-06-01 | 6.1% | 6.1% |
| 2014-07-01 | 6.0% | 6.2% |
| 2014-08-01 | 5.9% | 6.1% |
| 2014-09-01 | 5.8% | 5.9% |
| 2014-10-01 | 5.7% | 5.7% |
| 2014-11-01 | 5.7% | 5.8% |
| 2014-12-01 | 5.6% | 5.6% |
| 2015-01-01 | 5.5% | 5.7% |
| 2015-02-01 | 5.4% | 5.5% |
| 2015-03-01 | 5.4% | 5.4% |
| 2015-04-01 | 5.5% | 5.4% |
| 2015-05-01 | 5.3% | 5.6% |
| 2015-06-01 | 5.3% | 5.3% |
| 2015-07-01 | 5.3% | 5.2% |
| 2015-08-01 | 5.1% | 5.1% |
| 2015-09-01 | 5.0% | 5.0% |
| 2015-10-01 | 5.1% | 5.0% |
| 2015-11-01 | 5.1% | 5.1% |
| 2015-12-01 | 4.9% | 5.0% |
| 2016-01-01 | 5.0% | 4.8% |
| 2016-02-01 | 5.0% | 4.9% |
| 2016-03-01 | 4.9% | 5.0% |
| 2016-04-01 | 4.9% | 5.1% |
| 2016-05-01 | 5.0% | 4.8% |
| 2016-06-01 | 4.9% | 4.9% |
| 2016-07-01 | 4.9% | 4.8% |
| 2016-08-01 | 4.8% | 4.9% |
| 2016-09-01 | 4.8% | 5.0% |
| 2016-10-01 | 4.8% | 4.9% |
| 2016-11-01 | 4.6% | 4.7% |
| 2016-12-01 | 4.7% | 4.7% |
| 2017-01-01 | 4.7% | 4.7% |
| 2017-02-01 | 4.6% | 4.6% |
| 2017-03-01 | 4.5% | 4.4% |
| 2017-04-01 | 4.4% | 4.4% |
| 2017-05-01 | 4.4% | 4.4% |
| 2017-06-01 | 4.4% | 4.3% |
| 2017-07-01 | 4.3% | 4.3% |
| 2017-08-01 | 4.3% | 4.4% |
| 2017-09-01 | 4.4% | 4.3% |
| 2017-10-01 | 4.2% | 4.2% |
| 2017-11-01 | 4.2% | 4.2% |
| 2017-12-01 | 4.1% | 4.1% |
| 2018-01-01 | 4.1% | 4.0% |
| 2018-02-01 | 4.1% | 4.1% |
| 2018-03-01 | 4.0% | 4.0% |
| 2018-04-01 | 4.1% | 4.0% |
| 2018-05-01 | 3.9% | 3.8% |
| 2018-06-01 | 3.8% | 4.0% |
| 2018-07-01 | 3.8% | 3.8% |
| 2018-08-01 | 3.7% | 3.8% |
| 2018-09-01 | 3.7% | 3.7% |
| 2018-10-01 | 3.7% | 3.8% |
| 2018-11-01 | 3.7% | 3.8% |
| 2018-12-01 | 3.7% | 3.9% |
| 2019-01-01 | 3.8% | 4.0% |
| 2019-02-01 | 3.8% | 3.8% |
| 2019-03-01 | 3.8% | 3.8% |
| 2019-04-01 | 3.7% | 3.7% |
| 2019-05-01 | 3.7% | 3.6% |
| 2019-06-01 | 3.7% | 3.6% |
| 2019-07-01 | 3.7% | 3.7% |
| 2019-08-01 | 3.6% | 3.6% |
| 2019-09-01 | 3.6% | 3.5% |
| 2019-10-01 | 3.6% | 3.6% |
| 2019-11-01 | 3.7% | 3.6% |
| 2019-12-01 | 3.7% | 3.6% |
| 2020-01-01 | 3.7% | 3.6% |
| 2020-02-01 | 3.7% | 3.5% |
| 2020-03-01 | 3.9% | 4.4% |
| 2020-04-01 | 18.1% | 14.8% |
| 2020-05-01 | 17.7% | 13.2% |
| 2020-06-01 | 11.3% | 11.0% |
| 2020-07-01 | 10.5% | 10.2% |
| 2020-08-01 | 9.2% | 8.4% |
| 2020-09-01 | 8.3% | 7.8% |
| 2020-10-01 | 7.4% | 6.9% |
| 2020-11-01 | 6.9% | 6.7% |
| 2020-12-01 | 7.3% | 6.7% |
| 2021-01-01 | 7.0% | 6.4% |
| 2021-02-01 | 6.6% | 6.2% |
| 2021-03-01 | 6.0% | 6.1% |
| 2021-04-01 | 5.4% | 6.1% |
| 2021-05-01 | 5.1% | 5.8% |
| 2021-06-01 | 4.8% | 5.9% |
| 2021-07-01 | 4.6% | 5.4% |
| 2021-08-01 | 4.4% | 5.1% |
| 2021-09-01 | 4.4% | 4.7% |
| 2021-10-01 | 4.1% | 4.5% |
| 2021-11-01 | 3.8% | 4.1% |
| 2021-12-01 | 3.6% | 3.9% |
| 2022-01-01 | 3.5% | 4.0% |
| 2022-02-01 | 3.5% | 3.9% |
| 2022-03-01 | 3.3% | 3.7% |
| 2022-04-01 | 3.2% | 3.7% |
| 2022-05-01 | 3.3% | 3.6% |
| 2022-06-01 | 3.3% | 3.6% |
| 2022-07-01 | 3.4% | 3.5% |
| 2022-08-01 | 3.4% | 3.6% |
| 2022-09-01 | 3.3% | 3.5% |
| 2022-10-01 | 3.4% | 3.6% |
| 2022-11-01 | 3.5% | 3.6% |
| 2022-12-01 | 3.5% | 3.5% |
| 2023-01-01 | 3.5% | 3.5% |
| 2023-02-01 | 3.5% | 3.6% |
| 2023-03-01 | 3.6% | 3.5% |
| 2023-04-01 | 3.6% | 3.4% |
| 2023-05-01 | 3.7% | 3.6% |
| 2023-06-01 | 3.7% | 3.6% |
| 2023-07-01 | 3.7% | 3.5% |
| 2023-08-01 | 3.9% | 3.7% |
| 2023-09-01 | 3.8% | 3.7% |
| 2023-10-01 | 3.8% | 3.9% |
| 2023-11-01 | 3.9% | 3.7% |
| 2023-12-01 | 3.8% | 3.8% |
| 2024-01-01 | 3.7% | 3.7% |
| 2024-02-01 | 3.8% | 3.9% |
| 2024-03-01 | 3.8% | 3.9% |
| 2024-04-01 | 3.9% | 3.9% |
| 2024-05-01 | 3.9% | 3.9% |
| 2024-06-01 | 4.1% | 4.1% |
| 2024-07-01 | 4.1% | 4.2% |
| 2024-08-01 | 4.2% | 4.2% |
| 2024-09-01 | 4.2% | 4.1% |
| 2024-10-01 | 4.2% | 4.1% |
| 2024-11-01 | 4.1% | 4.2% |
| 2024-12-01 | 4.2% | 4.1% |
| 2025-01-01 | 4.1% | 4.0% |
| 2025-02-01 | 4.1% | 4.2% |
| 2025-03-01 | 4.2% | 4.2% |
| 2025-04-01 | 4.2% | 4.2% |
| 2025-05-01 | 4.3% | 4.3% |
| 2025-06-01 | 4.3% | 4.1% |
| 2025-07-01 | 4.3% | 4.3% |
| 2025-08-01 | 4.4% | 4.3% |
| 2025-09-01 | 4.4% | 4.4% |
| 2025-10-01 | 4.5% | |
| 2025-11-01 | 4.5% | 4.5% |
| 2025-12-01 | 4.5% | 4.4% |
Source: Chicago Federal Reserve and Bureau of Labor Statistics.